GUINESS123
0x2f26606ccc45a934838a97d44a30c32012ae0d8f
- Realised P&L
- $-57.9k
- Volume
- $6.11M
- Markets traded
- 23,370
- Open portfolio
- $63.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded23,370
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.027ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh
- +$2.9kat 0.571Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
- +$2.7kat 0.038Cavaliers vs. Knicks
- +$2.4kat 0.736Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
- +$2.3kat 0.246Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:43 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $46.50 |
| 11-01 20:43 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $52.00 |
| 11-01 20:43 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $54.75 |
| 11-01 20:43 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $54.00 |
| 11-01 20:43 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $49.75 |
| 11-01 19:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.56 | $56.00 |
| 11-01 19:21 | Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 11-01 19:09 | Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 11-01 19:09 | Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.57 | $22.80 |
| 11-01 19:06 | Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.59 | $50.74 |
| 11-01 17:20 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.17 |
| 11-01 16:35 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.38 | $4.94 |
| 11-01 15:09 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.50 |
| 11-01 15:09 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 11:37 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.38 | $11.40 |