liq2
0x3423c5cc44b93ae9fedf8d6a25f45a0e9d15fe57
- Realised P&L
- $6.3k
- Volume
- $2.80M
- Markets traded
- 3,257
- Open portfolio
- $6.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,257
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.5kat 0.301Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$6.0kat 0.052Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
- +$5.4kat 0.334Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
- +$5.2kat 0.431Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
- +$5.1kat 0.213Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:20 | Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 11-01 13:14 | Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.50 |
| 11-01 12:35 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.33 |
| 11-01 07:36 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.0212619553 | $1.70 |
| 11-01 07:36 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.937 | $75.04 |
| 11-01 07:36 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.019228462 | $0.90 |
| 11-01 07:36 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.935 | $65.36 |
| 10-31 22:25 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.12 |
| 10-31 22:23 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 10-31 22:23 | Will CZ post 40-59 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 10-31 22:22 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.085 | $0.43 |
| 10-31 22:22 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 10-31 19:27 | Will White House post 160-179 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.99 |
| 10-31 19:16 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 10-31 19:13 | Will White House post 160-179 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $157.27 |