PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

liq2

0x3423c5cc44b93ae9fedf8d6a25f45a0e9d15fe57

Realised P&L
$6.3k
Volume
$2.80M
Markets traded
3,257
Open portfolio
$6.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,257
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.5730.715$1.5k+$290.29
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? · Yes0.9260.958$918.21+$30.01
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7600.870$722.53+$91.20
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.2880.261$532.18−$55.87
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? · Yes0.8450.895$366.87+$20.64
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes0.5180.723$315.11+$88.95
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · Yes0.7910.997$179.37+$37.01
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.8820.895$114.62+$1.67
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.6820.713$106.88+$4.58
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2270.129$106.72−$81.67
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.4070.645$96.75+$35.75
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · Yes0.3450.841$90.83+$53.55
Will the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7100.780$78.00+$7.00
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.3230.168$73.05−$67.89
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.7740.952$63.53+$11.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 13:20Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?SELL0.42$8.40
11-01 13:14Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?SELL0.41$2.50
11-01 12:35Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?SELL0.005$0.33
11-01 07:36Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.0212619553$1.70
11-01 07:36Will there be no Hormuz agreement?BUY0.937$75.04
11-01 07:36Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.019228462$0.90
11-01 07:36Will there be no Hormuz agreement?BUY0.935$65.36
10-31 22:25Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?SELL0.006$0.12
10-31 22:23Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?BUY0.999$49.95
10-31 22:23Will CZ post 40-59 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?BUY0.34$1.70
10-31 22:22Will CZ post 0-19 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?BUY0.085$0.43
10-31 22:22Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?BUY0.26$1.30
10-31 19:27Will White House post 160-179 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?BUY0.999$13.99
10-31 19:16Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?SELL0.01$0.05
10-31 19:13Will White House post 160-179 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?BUY0.999$157.27