aHjCz
0x2b5920274740ca61745eeb077587bf5bb4ff9db6
- Realised P&L
- $914.5k
- Volume
- $20.22M
- Markets traded
- 114,684
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded114,684
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$247.1kat 0.006Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
- +$156.8kat 0.290Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$141.1kat 0.001Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$128.2kat 0.031Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?
- +$127.9kat 0.060Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:25 | Will the Democratic Party win the TN-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.49 |
| 11-02 00:25 | Will the Republican Party win the TN-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.00 |
| 11-02 00:17 | Will Conner Mantz be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 11-02 00:17 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 11-02 00:17 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.04 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the median home value in NYC be at least $510,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the median home value in NYC be between $484,000 and $497,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.04 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the median home value in NYC be between $471,000 and $484,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.07 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.70 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the median home value in NYC be between $497,000 and $510,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.137 | $0.75 |
| 11-02 00:13 | Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.539 | $2.95 |
| 11-02 00:05 | Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 11-02 00:05 | Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 11-02 00:04 | Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.04 |