PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

aHjCz

0x2b5920274740ca61745eeb077587bf5bb4ff9db6

Realised P&L
$914.5k
Volume
$20.22M
Markets traded
114,684
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded114,684
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? · Yes0.3650.980$121.08+$75.99
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.8190.894$102.06+$8.61
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.5510.531$70.60−$2.72
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.2270.455$41.92+$20.98
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31? · Yes0.4830.570$34.47+$5.27
Will Trump deport 400-500k people? · Yes0.4010.460$29.72+$3.82
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.4260.315$29.02−$10.25
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.1280.183$24.40+$7.37
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0490.226$20.78+$16.28
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4500.662$20.54+$6.59
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4100.735$20.18+$8.93
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0340.001$18.31−$1.2k
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0340.001$18.23−$1.2k
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0340.001$18.23−$1.2k
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0340.001$18.23−$1.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:25Will the Democratic Party win the TN-01 House seat?BUY0.996$1.49
11-02 00:25Will the Republican Party win the TN-01 House seat?BUY0.003$0.00
11-02 00:17Will Conner Mantz be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?SELL0.001$0.00
11-02 00:17Will the Republican Party win the CA-02 House seat?BUY0.991$4.96
11-02 00:17Will the Democratic Party win the CA-02 House seat?BUY0.008$0.04
11-02 00:13Will the median home value in NYC be at least $510,000 on December 31?SELL0.005$0.03
11-02 00:13Will the median home value in NYC be between $484,000 and $497,000 on December 31?SELL0.007$0.04
11-02 00:13Will the median home value in NYC be between $471,000 and $484,000 on December 31?SELL0.013$0.07
11-02 00:13Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?SELL0.31$1.70
11-02 00:13Will the median home value in NYC be between $497,000 and $510,000 on December 31?SELL0.001$0.01
11-02 00:13Will the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31?SELL0.137$0.75
11-02 00:13Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31?SELL0.539$2.95
11-02 00:05Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?BUY0.995$4.97
11-02 00:05Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?BUY0.004$0.02
11-02 00:04Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?BUY0.007$0.04