human.bean
0x39fd921acf9be28b17a422bf624dc6b30685849e
- Realised P&L
- $-36.9k
- Volume
- $7.24M
- Markets traded
- 19,488
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19,488
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.250Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$3.1kat 0.033Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
- +$3.0kat 0.500Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.500Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
- +$2.7kat 0.024Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 16:01 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.126 | $2.52 |
| 08-11 16:01 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.83 | $55.20 |
| 08-11 16:00 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.61 | $100.98 |
| 08-11 15:59 | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.73 |
| 08-11 15:59 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $12.93 |
| 08-11 15:59 | Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $100.50 |
| 08-11 15:59 | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $21.29 |
| 08-11 15:59 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $7.92 |
| 07-09 16:12 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7743294305 | $477.48 |
| 06-06 05:30 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.6 | $70.27 |
| 06-06 05:29 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.405 | $90.62 |
| 06-06 05:29 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.48 | $63.84 |
| 05-31 06:06 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? | SELL | 0.65 | $4.55 |
| 05-31 06:05 | Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat? | SELL | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 05-31 06:05 | Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.23 |