PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Arealgood

0x1f4ebb8ef69d381cd7122da3154dddf7b8699d5c

Realised P&L
$-61.67
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$224.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration77.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)29.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 18:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2PM ETSELL0.8974836296$47.97
10-11 18:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2PM ETBUY0.9199999993$49.18
10-11 18:37Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?BUY0.0389999995$2.04
10-11 18:37Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?BUY0.0599999996$3.13
10-11 18:37Will there be no Hormuz agreement?BUY0.8799999846$45.84
10-10 17:47Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.02$1.04
10-10 17:47Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.9629999993$49.97
10-08 16:20Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?SELL0.048$2.50
10-08 16:20Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?SELL0.022$1.15
10-08 16:20Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?SELL0.069$3.58
10-08 16:20Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?BUY0.0334237285$1.74
10-08 16:20Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?BUY0.0519999996$2.71
10-08 16:20Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?BUY0.0769999999$4.00
10-07 23:35Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?BUY0.682797243$9.51
10-07 23:35Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?BUY0.2850740334$3.97