Arealgood
0x1f4ebb8ef69d381cd7122da3154dddf7b8699d5c
- Realised P&L
- $-61.67
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $224.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.88at 0.440Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026?
- +$3.32at 0.360Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
- +$3.02at 0.156Will England vs. Spain end in a draw?
- +$1.56at 0.410Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?
- +$0.74at 0.610Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 18:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2PM ET | SELL | 0.8974836296 | $47.97 |
| 10-11 18:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.9199999993 | $49.18 |
| 10-11 18:37 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.0389999995 | $2.04 |
| 10-11 18:37 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.0599999996 | $3.13 |
| 10-11 18:37 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.8799999846 | $45.84 |
| 10-10 17:47 | Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.04 |
| 10-10 17:47 | Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.9629999993 | $49.97 |
| 10-08 16:20 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November? | SELL | 0.048 | $2.50 |
| 10-08 16:20 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? | SELL | 0.022 | $1.15 |
| 10-08 16:20 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December? | SELL | 0.069 | $3.58 |
| 10-08 16:20 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? | BUY | 0.0334237285 | $1.74 |
| 10-08 16:20 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November? | BUY | 0.0519999996 | $2.71 |
| 10-08 16:20 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December? | BUY | 0.0769999999 | $4.00 |
| 10-07 23:35 | Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.682797243 | $9.51 |
| 10-07 23:35 | Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2850740334 | $3.97 |