PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Rex416

0x9a3fa403a6666eef75f92f181fcf13f9c051914a

Realised P&L
$29.4k
Volume
$19.71M
Markets traded
5,188
Open portfolio
$47.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,188
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.255$7.6k+$1.3k
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? · Yes0.2920.309$6.5k+$369.35
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? · Yes0.2720.986$6.4k+$4.6k
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0360.036$3.6k+$50.00
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes0.8450.514$3.0k$1.9k
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? · Yes0.8951.000$2.4k+$251.77
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? · No0.3580.420$2.1k+$310.04
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · No0.4300.392$2.0k$203.76
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.7360.275$1.6k$2.8k
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? · No0.3820.385$1.3k+$11.36
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31? · Yes0.8290.840$1.2k+$14.53
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · Yes0.3970.375$1.1k$66.62
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.7420.320$959.99$1.3k
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.9650.956$956.00$9.00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4690.230$689.99$717.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:54Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.484$145.20
08-02 05:23Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.5730313589$82.23
08-02 04:10Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.999$3.0k
08-02 03:08Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.6901453304$113.21
08-02 02:45Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.5597549315$180.19
08-02 02:45Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4996637839$263.46
08-02 01:47Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.9492633233$431.94
08-02 00:31Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.9305247813$239.38
08-02 00:19Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.9355507792$348.21
08-01 23:15Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.98$147.00
08-01 23:13Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.927$4.63
08-01 23:13Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.9626656273$2.6k
08-01 21:58Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.8403114798$439.63
08-01 21:49Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.7298984726$162.48
08-01 18:36Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?BUY0.3$64.80