Rex416
0x9a3fa403a6666eef75f92f181fcf13f9c051914a
- Realised P&L
- $29.4k
- Volume
- $19.71M
- Markets traded
- 5,188
- Open portfolio
- $47.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,188
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.0kat 0.091Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?
- +$22.8kat 0.020Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$22.3kat 0.500Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?
- +$21.3kat 0.056Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?
- +$14.5kat 0.160Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:54 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.484 | $145.20 |
| 08-02 05:23 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.5730313589 | $82.23 |
| 08-02 04:10 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.0k |
| 08-02 03:08 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.6901453304 | $113.21 |
| 08-02 02:45 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.5597549315 | $180.19 |
| 08-02 02:45 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.4996637839 | $263.46 |
| 08-02 01:47 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.9492633233 | $431.94 |
| 08-02 00:31 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.9305247813 | $239.38 |
| 08-02 00:19 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.9355507792 | $348.21 |
| 08-01 23:15 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.98 | $147.00 |
| 08-01 23:13 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.927 | $4.63 |
| 08-01 23:13 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.9626656273 | $2.6k |
| 08-01 21:58 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.8403114798 | $439.63 |
| 08-01 21:49 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.7298984726 | $162.48 |
| 08-01 18:36 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $64.80 |