Rex416
0x9a3fa403a6666eef75f92f181fcf13f9c051914a
- Realised P&L
- $37.3k
- Volume
- $27.33M
- Markets traded
- 6,754
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,754
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.4kat 0.289Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?
- +$22.7kat 0.019Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$15.1kat 0.569Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek
- +$14.4kat 0.164Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?
- +$14.0kat 0.199Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 06:15 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $41.41 |
| 11-01 01:58 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9851374341 | $985.11 |
| 11-01 01:51 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.917 | $917.00 |
| 11-01 01:47 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31? | BUY | 0.9821225135 | $52.83 |
| 11-01 01:44 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | SELL | 0.1520483255 | $31.46 |
| 11-01 01:31 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | SELL | 0.194 | $145.30 |
| 11-01 01:29 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 11-01 01:25 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $843.90 |
| 11-01 01:19 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.7k |
| 11-01 01:18 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.7883333333 | $283.80 |
| 11-01 01:15 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.7596 | $94.95 |
| 11-01 01:10 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.7126676738 | $297.20 |
| 11-01 00:58 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $976.62 |
| 11-01 00:58 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31? | BUY | 0.9257142857 | $129.60 |
| 11-01 00:53 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31? | BUY | 0.9364233307 | $658.57 |