PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD986dd504838BA41C59d57DD2879406EA73dCAa0-1775966614610

0x71ac8b3014dd832ad19630717fca11cb259fe8e5

Realised P&L
$-703.91
Volume
$86.4k
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.9600.971$1.5k+$15.75
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? · Yes0.8300.681$231.71−$50.41
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · No0.7411.000$200.00+$51.80
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.9840.982$154.10−$0.39
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? · Yes0.9790.965$152.39−$2.25
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? · Yes0.1360.289$98.26+$51.87
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3720.370$92.50−$0.60
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft? · Yes0.8500.885$88.50+$3.50
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2370.244$61.00+$1.84
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.5840.519$51.95−$6.45
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3810.375$37.50−$0.63
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.9250.895$35.82−$1.18
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1250.140$35.00+$3.85
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1090.117$29.13+$1.82
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.5290.445$22.25−$4.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 11:27Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.984$154.49
11-01 11:26Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?BUY0.9787220253$154.64
10-31 14:20Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.0260165605$8.17
10-31 14:20Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.027$1.08
10-31 14:20Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.027$10.80
10-31 14:20Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.0270003258$169.89
10-31 14:19Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.028$0.42
10-31 14:19Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.028$4.14
10-31 14:19Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.0280016588$41.36
10-31 14:19Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.029$0.46
10-31 14:19Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.029$4.61
10-31 14:19Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.029$46.08
10-31 09:11Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026?BUY0.009$1.01
10-31 09:11Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026?BUY0.0294868$2.95
10-31 09:11Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?BUY0.584$58.40