richardd
0x34cb173d34b6c8de809399dae2a595a525827588
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $1.74M
- Markets traded
- 4,163
- Open portfolio
- $8.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,163
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.250Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?
- +$867.71at 0.165Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth <25%?
- +$449.58at 0.050Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
- +$324.74at 0.120Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverev
- +$238.32at 0.261Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 01:38 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $172.90 |
| 09-18 00:34 | Will AutoZone say "Customer" 10+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 09-18 00:02 | Will AutoZone say "Duralast" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 00:00 | Will AutoZone say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.86 |
| 09-18 00:00 | Will AutoZone say "Customer" 10+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.17 |
| 09-17 23:58 | Will AutoZone say "Duralast" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 09-17 23:55 | Will AutoZone say "Headwind" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 23:54 | Will AutoZone say "Distribution Center" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 09-17 17:00 | Will Idaho have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | SELL | 0.0466688896 | $1.40 |
| 09-17 16:07 | Will Utah have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | BUY | 0.8033333333 | $48.20 |
| 09-17 15:52 | Will Utah have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 09-17 15:06 | Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.62 |
| 09-17 15:06 | Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026? | SELL | 0.0421666667 | $2.53 |
| 09-17 12:47 | Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026? | BUY | 0.867 | $69.36 |
| 09-17 12:14 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.28 |