PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

richardd

0x34cb173d34b6c8de809399dae2a595a525827588

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$1.74M
Markets traded
4,163
Open portfolio
$8.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,163
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$5.5k+$2.0k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4950.221$1.5k$1.9k
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0550.021$435.25$671.42
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2000.202$221.64+$1.95
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher? · No0.9000.895$89.50$0.50
Will Utah have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? · Yes0.7850.880$70.40+$7.60
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? · No0.1360.201$51.60+$16.55
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31? · Yes0.3300.420$50.27+$10.77
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,153,000 on September 30? · Yes0.1020.115$35.29+$4.06
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20.5B by September 30? · Yes0.2300.330$15.65+$4.74
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2028? · No0.9200.775$15.50$2.90
Will Brooke Buckner advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · Yes0.0800.245$9.80+$6.60
Will Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? · No0.9500.998$8.98+$0.43
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.1160.088$8.38$2.68
Will Brian Tevlin win the 2026 PLL Hard Hat Award (SSDM)? · No0.9000.490$6.86$5.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 01:38Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?SELL0.91$172.90
09-18 00:34Will AutoZone say "Customer" 10+ times during earnings call?BUY0.09$2.70
09-18 00:02Will AutoZone say "Duralast" during earnings call?BUY0.1$3.00
09-18 00:00Will AutoZone say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call?BUY0.06$1.86
09-18 00:00Will AutoZone say "Customer" 10+ times during earnings call?BUY0.07$2.17
09-17 23:58Will AutoZone say "Duralast" during earnings call?BUY0.09$2.70
09-17 23:55Will AutoZone say "Headwind" during earnings call?BUY0.1$3.00
09-17 23:54Will AutoZone say "Distribution Center" during earnings call?BUY0.09$2.70
09-17 17:00Will Idaho have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?SELL0.0466688896$1.40
09-17 16:07Will Utah have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?BUY0.8033333333$48.20
09-17 15:52Will Utah have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?BUY0.73$14.60
09-17 15:06Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?SELL0.031$0.62
09-17 15:06Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?SELL0.0421666667$2.53
09-17 12:47Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?BUY0.867$69.36
09-17 12:14Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 13, 2026?SELL0.014$0.28