richardd
0x34cb173d34b6c8de809399dae2a595a525827588
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $1.97M
- Markets traded
- 4,642
- Open portfolio
- $11.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,642
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.250Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?
- +$867.71at 0.165Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth <25%?
- +$449.58at 0.050Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
- +$324.74at 0.120Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverev
- +$238.32at 0.261Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 04:21 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 11-02 02:52 | Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.629 | $37.74 |
| 11-02 02:43 | Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? | SELL | 0.0124193751 | $1.18 |
| 11-02 02:24 | Will Anthropic raise between $125B and $135B in its IPO? | SELL | 0.0025748532 | $0.68 |
| 11-02 02:23 | Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO? | BUY | 0.1152487962 | $21.78 |
| 11-02 02:20 | Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 11-02 02:14 | Will Michael McGreevy win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.45 |
| 11-02 02:04 | Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6583360818 | $122.96 |
| 11-02 02:02 | Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.30 |
| 11-02 01:56 | Will Masyn Winn win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award? | SELL | 0.0056863366 | $0.57 |
| 11-01 23:53 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.09 |
| 11-01 16:10 | Will the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division winner finish in 2:23:00 or faster? | SELL | 0.0017105025 | $0.19 |
| 11-01 16:10 | Will the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division winner finish in 2:22:00 or faster? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 11-01 16:08 | Will the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division winner finish in 2:23:00 or faster? | SELL | 0.040473715 | $0.69 |
| 11-01 16:04 | Will the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division winner finish in 2:22:00 or faster? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.15 |