PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

anciano

0xa8b7f8b34185e9cc62c471e1d353595148a3ee3c

Realised P&L
$5.1k
Volume
$21.41M
Markets traded
3,367
Open portfolio
$75.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,367
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:48Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?BUY0.1$40.00
08-01 12:26Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South?SELL0.72$191.52
07-31 22:12Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?BUY0.79$303.63
07-31 21:47Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?BUY0.1739447777$206.19
07-31 20:04Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?BUY0.88$204.84
07-31 19:15Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?SELL0.971$14.56
07-31 05:15Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?SELL0.005$0.03
07-31 05:03Will the 49ers win the season series against the Rams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.75$205.50
07-31 04:43Will the Packers win the season series against the Vikings during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.65$191.17
07-31 02:22Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?BUY0.91$65.52
07-30 18:00Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?SELL0.44$8.80
07-30 17:59Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.2858201058$108.04
07-30 17:44Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.74$3.70
07-30 06:58Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?SELL0.45$90.00
07-30 06:40Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament?BUY0.19$3.80