anciano
0xa8b7f8b34185e9cc62c471e1d353595148a3ee3c
- Realised P&L
- $110.6k
- Volume
- $23.51M
- Markets traded
- 3,837
- Open portfolio
- $131.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,837
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.0kat 0.005Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023?
- +$6.6kat 0.181Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada?
- +$6.1kat 0.002Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election?
- +$5.7kat 0.498Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress?
- +$4.9kat 0.395Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:15 | Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.90 |
| 09-17 19:12 | Will Koa Peat win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.45 |
| 09-17 19:12 | Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.90 |
| 09-17 19:11 | Will Karim López win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.90 |
| 09-17 19:11 | Will Jayden Quaintance win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.90 |
| 09-17 19:07 | Will Joshua Jefferson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.998 | $868.49 |
| 09-17 19:06 | Will Sergio De Larrea win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.79 |
| 09-17 19:04 | Will Zuby Ejiofor win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.79 |
| 09-17 19:03 | Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.79 |
| 09-17 19:01 | Will Bennett Stirtz win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.78 |
| 09-17 18:59 | Will Aday Mara win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.52 |
| 09-17 18:57 | Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.997 | $930.10 |
| 09-17 18:52 | Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.22 | $88.00 |
| 09-17 18:45 | Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.18 | $44.82 |
| 09-17 18:41 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-20 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $19.74 |