Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-26

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.016. up 0.013 over the period, from 0.003. Range 0.001 to 0.021. 165 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.020	321	321
0.021	306	627
0.028	154	781
0.029	1,187	1,968
0.030	122	2,090
0.032	40	2,130
0.035	5	2,135
0.037	10	2,145
0.038	20	2,165
0.039	30	2,195
0.040	1,603	3,797
0.041	300	4,097

Spread0.008Mid0.016

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.012	20	20
0.011	10,000	10,020
0.010	2,074	12,094
0.008	3,000	15,094
0.007	874	15,968
0.006	8,834	24,802
0.005	13,206	38,009
0.004	11,565	49,574
0.003	20,845	70,419
0.002	84,302	154,721
0.001	619,704	774,424

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.988	20	20
0.989	10,000	10,020
0.990	2,074	12,094
0.992	3,000	15,094
0.993	874	15,968
0.994	8,834	24,802
0.995	13,206	38,009
0.996	11,565	49,574
0.997	20,845	70,419
0.998	84,302	154,721
0.999	619,704	774,424

Spread0.008Mid0.984

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.980	321	321
0.979	306	627
0.972	154	781
0.971	1,187	1,968
0.970	122	2,090
0.968	40	2,130
0.965	5	2,135
0.963	10	2,145
0.962	20	2,165
0.961	30	2,195
0.960	1,603	3,797
0.959	300	4,097

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
balthazar	Yes	43,217.76
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	14,812.07
Mac-Gyver	Yes	10,865.95
shinyandrew	Yes	6,900
bagsbunny	Yes	5,506.5
Flipadelphia	Yes	4,780.35
0x38B63F2a6393a72A9042915A4D45edf38e3935B9-1767625381840	Yes	3,100.95
vaxastadnyk	Yes	3,000
0xdc3E831cad	Yes	2,527.95
AJSV	Yes	2,168.22
0xb010…efbd	Yes	2,137.26
Seeking-Alpha01	Yes	1,914.09
donthackme	Yes	1,516.24
aldtrader	Yes	1,464.51
DawsonQuest	Yes	1,391.99
Makiavel	Yes	1,374.29
Edje25	Yes	1,351.26
youtube-trader	Yes	1,199.83
0xBC18F1aa04Aa1fcc2a8decbe6c02bbf4853d139D-1756480013439	Yes	1,106.3
BabyGroot	Yes	1,026.1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:55:12	BUY	Yes	0.015	200	$3.00
07:22:55	BUY	Yes	0.013	106	$1.38
06:56:46	BUY	Yes	0.0143681785	2,016	$28.96
02:46:07	BUY	Yes	0.011	66	$0.73
02:45:19	SELL	No	0.989	34	$33.58
02:34:30	SELL	Yes	0.01	626	$6.26
02:33:49	SELL	Yes	0.01	400	$4.00
02:32:45	SELL	Yes	0.011	12	$0.14
02:31:58	BUY	No	0.989	140	$138.35
02:31:57	BUY	No	0.989	12	$12.03
02:31:57	BUY	No	0.989	45	$44.87
01:08:15	SELL	Yes	0.011	0	$0.00
01:02:36	BUY	No	0.989	250	$247.25
01:02:36	BUY	No	0.989	40	$39.56
23:12:37	BUY	Yes	0.0149999999	67	$1.00
23:06:54	BUY	Yes	0.015	667	$10.00
23:05:01	BUY	Yes	0.01436794	1,392	$20.00
22:53:52	BUY	Yes	0.0139999999	71	$1.00
22:16:18	BUY	Yes	0.014	100	$1.40
21:24:35	BUY	Yes	0.013	200	$2.60
21:09:59	SELL	Yes	0.012	194	$2.33
21:08:44	SELL	Yes	0.012	155	$1.85
21:08:35	SELL	Yes	0.012	121	$1.45
21:08:35	SELL	Yes	0.012	220	$2.64
21:08:32	SELL	Yes	0.012	196	$2.35