BigMackyG
0x524db836890e08aceb3abcdee98d44240e324495
- Realised P&L
- $42.5k
- Volume
- $5.17M
- Markets traded
- 512
- Open portfolio
- $95.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded512
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.9kat 0.093Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
- +$16.2kat 0.343Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
- +$8.4kat 0.124Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$8.3kat 0.406US imports Russian diesel by October 31?
- +$7.5kat 0.020Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:09 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.86 | $3.7k |
| 11-01 07:05 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.4k |
| 11-01 07:04 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? | BUY | 0.5681524168 | $1.4k |
| 11-01 07:04 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat? | BUY | 0.5692767628 | $2.4k |
| 11-01 06:35 | Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.4013601381 | $4.4k |
| 11-01 06:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | BUY | 0.5985706883 | $2.3k |
| 11-01 05:58 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.2k |
| 11-01 05:58 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.5k |
| 11-01 05:57 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.6775990858 | $3.0k |
| 11-01 05:57 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.0k |
| 11-01 05:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | BUY | 0.8065646373 | $1.4k |
| 11-01 05:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.6550571545 | $2.4k |
| 11-01 05:45 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | BUY | 0.4023920642 | $4.8k |
| 10-31 14:39 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.5962493419 | $1.6k |
| 10-31 11:55 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1006795006 | $73.30 |