Seeking-Alpha01
0x0a9c7a7ad13dddebc83619d949140c1180d1d552
- Realised P&L
- $13.3k
- Volume
- $430.2k
- Markets traded
- 230
- Open portfolio
- $15.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded230
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$835.83at 0.130Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?
- +$476.40at 0.466Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?
- +$293.25at 0.394Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$289.92at 0.193Will Filipe Barros win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?
- +$275.46at 0.568Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 21:19 | Will Domingos Sávio win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.24 |
| 10-02 21:19 | Will Domingos Sávio win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | SELL | 0.4652399295 | $137.21 |
| 10-02 20:35 | Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? | BUY | 0.5449309665 | $55.26 |
| 10-02 20:34 | Will Renan win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? | BUY | 0.1246723344 | $52.79 |
| 10-02 20:01 | Will Maguinha Malta win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election? | BUY | 0.3003001633 | $128.71 |
| 10-02 19:15 | Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | SELL | 0.7712 | $69.41 |
| 10-02 19:06 | Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.7147003622 | $670.96 |
| 10-02 17:35 | Will JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.3234822905 | $74.34 |
| 10-02 17:26 | Will JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.7406244928 | $191.65 |
| 10-02 14:22 | Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? | SELL | 0.64 | $139.69 |
| 10-02 13:32 | Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | SELL | 0.5730467354 | $166.76 |
| 10-02 12:30 | Will Eduardo Braga win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election? | BUY | 0.112 | $3.51 |
| 10-02 12:30 | Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election? | BUY | 0.1113799937 | $95.99 |
| 10-02 12:29 | Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election? | BUY | 0.1373863348 | $70.44 |
| 10-02 01:22 | Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | SELL | 0.69 | $82.80 |