PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BabyGroot

0xbefa95c276ee8ef6ff3ef43d1c1c454f52bc300d

Realised P&L
$45.1k
Volume
$191.68M
Markets traded
4,127
Open portfolio
$10.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,127
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.045$433.00$433.00
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0030.002$306.00$242.76
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.002$226.50$379.31
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0030.003$202.50$40.50
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0010.002$187.74+$64.47
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0020.002$149.67$47.20
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0020.002$140.90$91.30
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.002$139.70$182.10
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0010.002$125.26+$41.75
Will VfB Stuttgart be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes0.0100.025$124.95+$73.95
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.002$123.99$246.50
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0030.002$121.50$121.50
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0030.002$121.50$121.50
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0030.001$117.59$479.02
Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.0010.002$117.52+$39.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:55Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0265037965$68.90
09-16 18:10Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.022870932$41.32
09-16 13:18Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?SELL0.024$1.20
09-16 09:12Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.92$460.00
09-16 09:11Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.13$65.00
09-15 12:44Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0169711432$36.70
09-14 08:02Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?SELL0.006$0.22
09-13 19:56Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.32$3.20
09-13 19:53Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.26$44.46
09-13 19:24Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.11$3.30
09-13 19:15Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.11$16.50
09-13 09:13Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.52$1.69
09-12 08:38Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0109944312$88.45
09-11 08:15Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.019$1.25
09-10 21:22Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.024$10.14