Makiavel
0x0dcedae425aab56ed8f9af63f5e098b46fa9fffe
- Realised P&L
- $-12.21
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $77.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.195 | $35.45 | +$15.45 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.225 | $25.27 | −$21.90 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.012 | $16.49 | +$6.87 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.99 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.79 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 05:06 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.007 | $5.12 |
| 10-14 04:51 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.007 | $4.50 |
| 10-14 01:09 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 20:16 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | BUY | 0.0179564803 | $1.99 |
| 09-25 20:11 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.11 | $9.79 |
| 09-24 00:12 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4199999975 | $47.18 |