PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x38B63F2a6393a72A9042915A4D45edf38e3935B9-1767625381840

0x0fca282262f3f3ed570646fd26e5be03832e90de

Realised P&L
$0.00
Volume
$101.6k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$10.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.7500.695$5.4k−$426.96
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · No0.7420.685$1.2k−$96.50
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5860.485$776.00−$162.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7500.705$705.00−$45.00
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4440.331$503.16−$172.47
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.5760.575$460.00−$1.00
Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · No0.6580.660$198.14+$0.75
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes0.0640.054$195.42−$35.85
Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? · Yes0.1850.110$186.99−$127.99
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · No0.6400.695$139.00+$11.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · Yes0.1400.135$135.00−$5.00
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? · No0.0740.041$111.88−$89.41
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5? · Lula0.1300.110$110.00−$20.00
Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3500.325$97.50−$7.50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.2050.262$83.16+$18.09

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 16:10Will Áurea Carolina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?BUY0.004$0.16
09-30 14:20Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?BUY0.58$60.92
09-29 20:10Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.77$2.3k
09-29 16:32Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.11$0.55
09-29 16:31Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.072$4.19
09-28 14:25Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.449$53.99
09-28 14:24Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.078$1.47
09-28 14:23Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by September 30?BUY0.083$4.15
09-28 14:21Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?BUY0.059$1.69
09-27 14:35Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.003$9.57
09-27 14:35Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$47.95
09-27 14:35Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$14.65
09-27 14:35Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.002$13.79
09-27 14:11Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 3?BUY0.11$7.70
09-27 14:04Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?BUY0.39$1.99