aldtrader
0x2b50d730c88576184fa775ee96a2df7ec5b18f3f
- Realised P&L
- $484.98
- Volume
- $33.6k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.92at 0.070Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 12?
- +$-2.00at 0.234Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 8?
- +$-6.00at 0.001Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 8?
- +$-10.00at 0.046Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 9?
- +$-22.80at 0.121Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 22:14 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.018 | $67.66 |
| 08-29 17:27 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7032058338 | $787.77 |
| 08-29 17:22 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3278719914 | $1.3k |
| 08-28 22:21 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2609999994 | $273.79 |
| 08-28 22:17 | Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0320156048 | $17.09 |
| 08-28 16:46 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0387812953 | $123.36 |
| 08-27 17:50 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2139999969 | $46.55 |
| 08-27 17:47 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0245932967 | $50.00 |
| 08-27 17:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.11 |
| 08-27 03:03 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.02 | $53.02 |
| 08-27 02:22 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.011 | $41.80 |
| 02-10 15:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 12? | SELL | 0.029 | $7.20 |
| 02-10 06:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 12? | SELL | 0.082800336 | $5.91 |
| 02-09 22:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 12? | BUY | 0.1124993784 | $20.00 |
| 02-09 04:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 12? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |