PolyBot

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Traders

shinyandrew

0x60ccc2ea4a54b191b6114fa769c03359bb1af23f

Realised P&L
$47.8k
Volume
$2.89M
Markets traded
369
Open portfolio
$3.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded369
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · No0.9660.995$994.50+$28.50
Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026? · No0.9300.987$986.94+$57.00
Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats? · Yes0.7000.705$704.97+$5.00
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8680.847$378.36−$9.38
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0170.024$235.00+$65.01
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0700.091$128.27+$29.60
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.1500.240$112.23+$42.09
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.2000.275$17.97+$4.90
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0210.001$5.00−$205.00
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0090.001$4.69−$78.56
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0030.001$1.17−$5.50
Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%? · Yes0.0120.001$0.25−$5.75
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0200.001$0.05−$2.01
Will United Torah Judaism win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$2.31
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 09:19Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.5005747258$219.49
10-27 22:26Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.9095946667$1.4k
10-27 22:20Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.56$559.99
10-27 17:34Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.0651914858$7.78
10-27 17:32Will Shas win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.001$0.69
10-27 17:32Will The Democrats win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.0095764324$3.54
10-26 21:44Will United Torah Judaism win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.003$0.26
10-26 10:13Will Ra'am win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.001$1.22
10-26 10:11Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.001$0.36
10-26 10:11Will United Torah Judaism win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.001$0.52
10-26 10:10Will RZP-Zehut win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.001$0.63
10-25 21:06Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.010144225$81.15
10-13 12:24Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.017$42.59
10-13 11:54Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.004$27.60
09-20 19:19Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.002$20.00