PolyBot

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Traders

Flipadelphia

0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319

Realised P&L
$507.2k
Volume
$79.97M
Markets traded
7,357
Open portfolio
$190.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,357
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration65.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7380.755$102.3k+$2.4k
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9920.995$30.6k+$78.36
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? · No0.9991.000$14.0k+$8.50
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? · Yes0.9991.000$11.3k+$7.66
Will Moderate Party (M) win less than 16% of all valid votes? · No0.9991.000$4.6k+$2.33
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? · No0.9991.000$3.2k+$1.60
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes? · No0.9980.999$2.5k+$3.33
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? · No0.9750.977$2.2k+$3.33
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? · No0.9971.000$2.1k+$5.15
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.9981.000$1.7k+$1.69
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes? · Yes0.9930.996$1.5k+$4.21
Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? · Yes0.9941.000$1.4k+$7.14
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down? · Up0.9991.000$1.3k+$0.97
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%? · Yes0.9980.999$1.2k+$1.51
Will Green Party (MP) win less than 5% of all valid votes? · No0.9981.000$1.1k+$1.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:30Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.992$29.0k
09-17 14:53Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.75$21.2k
09-17 10:02Will the opposition parties win by 7 or more seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.999$122.59
09-17 10:02Will the Tidö parties win by 1–2 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.999$252.95
09-17 10:02Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?BUY0.999$9.8k
09-17 10:01Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.999$3.0k
09-17 10:01Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?BUY0.997$976.86
09-16 19:16Will the opposition parties win by 7 or more seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.9973806107$473.97
09-16 18:42Will the Tidö parties win by 3–4 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.999$38.96
09-16 16:50Will the Tidö parties win by 1–2 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.95$19.00
09-16 16:50Will the opposition parties win by 5–6 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.99$393.03
09-16 15:13Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?BUY0.9983159107$650.35
09-16 15:13Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?BUY0.999$661.95
09-16 15:03Will the Liberals (L) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.999$1.0k
09-16 15:03Will the Liberals (L) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.999$64.94