PolyBot

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Traders

0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319

0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319

Realised P&L
$968.7k
Volume
$84.29M
Markets traded
7,629
Open portfolio
$480.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded7,629
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:13Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.36$8.5k
11-01 21:13Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.36$5.5k
11-01 17:52Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.28$3.6k
11-01 17:51Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.28$14.0k
11-01 17:32Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7$15.1k
11-01 16:582026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.71$14.5k
11-01 09:20Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.2258983423$2.8k
10-31 14:35Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.73$5.2k
10-31 14:16Will the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?SELL0.21$11.82
10-31 12:08Rogers flips El-Sayed for Michigan Senate by November 2?BUY0.95$20.90
10-31 12:05Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?BUY0.9908923313$368.13
10-31 12:04Rogers flips El-Sayed for Michigan Senate by November 2?BUY0.94$40.96
10-31 11:17Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?BUY0.9591039682$1.3k
10-31 11:09Rogers flips El-Sayed for Michigan Senate by November 2?BUY0.9370930233$80.59
10-31 11:04Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?BUY0.9698125354$993.07