PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Flipadelphia

0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319

Realised P&L
$463.1k
Volume
$71.96M
Markets traded
5,307
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,307
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · No0.9341.000$1.5k+$99.41
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: Adilet Wins Majority? · No0.0500.055$308.68+$29.05
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.3320.025$63.51$766.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:15Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.62$1.9k
08-02 18:14Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.72$24.59
08-02 18:07CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 3.5BUY0.15$75.24
08-02 18:06CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 2.5BUY0.33$170.90
08-02 18:06Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.45$1.2k
08-02 17:40Spread: CSD Independiente del Valle (-1.5)BUY0.5$45.49
08-02 17:38Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.45$2.7k
08-02 17:29Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.3$900.00
08-02 17:19CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4$417.06
08-02 15:36Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)BUY0.36$133.40
08-02 15:36Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsBUY0.52$3.1k
08-02 15:31Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)BUY0.38$739.80
08-02 15:31Texas Rangers vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.56$3.4k
08-02 15:13Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5BUY0.64$32.22
08-02 14:59Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.39$996.01