Flipadelphia
0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319
- Realised P&L
- $463.1k
- Volume
- $71.96M
- Markets traded
- 5,307
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,307
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · No | 0.934 | 1.000 | $1.5k | +$99.41 |
| Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: Adilet Wins Majority? · No | 0.050 | 0.055 | $308.68 | +$29.05 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes | 0.332 | 0.025 | $63.51 | −$766.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$124.1kat 0.410Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?
- +$101.2kat 0.359Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$61.5kat 0.794Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$55.5kat 0.475Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$53.8kat 0.980US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:15 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.62 | $1.9k |
| 08-02 18:14 | Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.72 | $24.59 |
| 08-02 18:07 | CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.15 | $75.24 |
| 08-02 18:06 | CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.33 | $170.90 |
| 08-02 18:06 | Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.45 | $1.2k |
| 08-02 17:40 | Spread: CSD Independiente del Valle (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $45.49 |
| 08-02 17:38 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.45 | $2.7k |
| 08-02 17:29 | Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.3 | $900.00 |
| 08-02 17:19 | CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4 | $417.06 |
| 08-02 15:36 | Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) | BUY | 0.36 | $133.40 |
| 08-02 15:36 | Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.52 | $3.1k |
| 08-02 15:31 | Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) | BUY | 0.38 | $739.80 |
| 08-02 15:31 | Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.56 | $3.4k |
| 08-02 15:13 | Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $32.22 |
| 08-02 14:59 | Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.39 | $996.01 |