Flipadelphia
0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319
- Realised P&L
- $507.2k
- Volume
- $79.97M
- Markets traded
- 7,357
- Open portfolio
- $190.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,357
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$124.1kat 0.410Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?
- +$100.4kat 0.364Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$98.4kat 0.106Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$61.5kat 0.794Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$55.5kat 0.475Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:30 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.992 | $29.0k |
| 09-17 14:53 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.75 | $21.2k |
| 09-17 10:02 | Will the opposition parties win by 7 or more seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $122.59 |
| 09-17 10:02 | Will the Tidö parties win by 1–2 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $252.95 |
| 09-17 10:02 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.8k |
| 09-17 10:01 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.0k |
| 09-17 10:01 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.997 | $976.86 |
| 09-16 19:16 | Will the opposition parties win by 7 or more seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9973806107 | $473.97 |
| 09-16 18:42 | Will the Tidö parties win by 3–4 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.96 |
| 09-16 16:50 | Will the Tidö parties win by 1–2 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 09-16 16:50 | Will the opposition parties win by 5–6 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.99 | $393.03 |
| 09-16 15:13 | Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.9983159107 | $650.35 |
| 09-16 15:13 | Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.999 | $661.95 |
| 09-16 15:03 | Will the Liberals (L) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 09-16 15:03 | Will the Liberals (L) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.94 |