PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xdc3E831cad

0x5ecde7348ea5100af4360dd7a6e0a3fb1d420787

Realised P&L
$90.5k
Volume
$48.72M
Markets traded
4,849
Open portfolio
$92.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,849
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No0.8040.961$7.7k+$1.3k
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.2380.765$4.9k+$3.4k
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.6840.885$4.1k+$936.59
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.9010.904$3.8k+$15.66
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · No0.8970.935$3.5k+$141.46
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.4960.690$2.9k+$825.20
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · No0.6580.685$2.8k+$110.67
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? · No0.7900.765$2.8k−$90.77
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · No0.9500.989$2.3k+$90.86
Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision? · No0.8080.968$2.3k+$381.88
Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026? · No0.5760.720$2.0k+$404.39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5370.635$1.9k+$295.00
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8200.920$1.7k+$186.82
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%? · No0.7140.795$1.7k+$174.90
Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 51.0 or higher? · Yes0.8990.910$1.5k+$18.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 02:44Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?BUY0.1324618262$454.29
10-29 14:31Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?BUY0.13$128.18
10-29 14:31Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?BUY0.1034513785$329.57
10-29 04:03Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 51.5 or higher?BUY0.8733333333$52.40
10-29 04:03Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 51.0 or higher?BUY0.8990909635$1.5k
10-29 04:03Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.5 or higher?SELL0.44$8.80
10-29 04:02Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.5 or higher?BUY0.4021005917$135.91
10-29 04:02Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.0 or higher?BUY0.52$93.50
10-29 04:00Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?SELL0.917099768$158.11
10-29 04:00Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?BUY0.8348942788$982.40
10-28 19:05Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?BUY0.626481392$1.3k
10-28 19:05Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$999.00
10-28 14:54Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026?BUY0.86$1.1k
10-28 14:53Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.7807584652$1.8k
10-28 14:52Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?SELL0.984196966$2.6k
Trader 0xdc3E831cad · PolyBot Pro