0xdc3E831cad
0x5ecde7348ea5100af4360dd7a6e0a3fb1d420787
- Realised P&L
- $171.8k
- Volume
- $47.99M
- Markets traded
- 4,588
- Open portfolio
- $126.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,588
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.9kat 0.300SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks
- +$40.1kat 0.786California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks
- +$29.8kat 0.611Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
- +$27.9kat 0.500Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$23.7kat 0.510Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:14 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.05 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 02:12 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.68 |
| 09-16 02:12 | Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.807275675 | $3.2k |
| 09-15 10:18 | Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2749449816 | $1.2k |
| 09-15 10:18 | Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0774149639 | $224.36 |
| 09-15 10:15 | Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.9809174194 | $5.3k |
| 09-15 10:15 | Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.4797849519 | $457.59 |
| 09-15 02:42 | Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | BUY | 0.4352199542 | $148.40 |
| 09-15 02:41 | Alibaba matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $392.85 |
| 09-15 02:41 | Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $336.84 |
| 09-15 02:40 | Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | BUY | 0.7964076773 | $310.38 |
| 09-15 02:40 | Meta matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $90.63 |
| 09-15 02:40 | SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $105.84 |
| 09-13 08:56 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $9.2k |
| 09-13 08:55 | Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.9231034483 | $1.3k |