0xdc3E831cad
0x5ecde7348ea5100af4360dd7a6e0a3fb1d420787
- Realised P&L
- $90.5k
- Volume
- $48.72M
- Markets traded
- 4,849
- Open portfolio
- $92.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,849
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.7kat 0.063Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$45.1kat 0.430Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
- +$43.6kat 0.014Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$28.9kat 0.181Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$27.0kat 0.490Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 02:44 | Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? | BUY | 0.1324618262 | $454.29 |
| 10-29 14:31 | Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $128.18 |
| 10-29 14:31 | Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? | BUY | 0.1034513785 | $329.57 |
| 10-29 04:03 | Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 51.5 or higher? | BUY | 0.8733333333 | $52.40 |
| 10-29 04:03 | Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 51.0 or higher? | BUY | 0.8990909635 | $1.5k |
| 10-29 04:03 | Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.5 or higher? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 10-29 04:02 | Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.5 or higher? | BUY | 0.4021005917 | $135.91 |
| 10-29 04:02 | Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.0 or higher? | BUY | 0.52 | $93.50 |
| 10-29 04:00 | Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.917099768 | $158.11 |
| 10-29 04:00 | Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? | BUY | 0.8348942788 | $982.40 |
| 10-28 19:05 | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.626481392 | $1.3k |
| 10-28 19:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 10-28 14:54 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $1.1k |
| 10-28 14:53 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.7807584652 | $1.8k |
| 10-28 14:52 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.984196966 | $2.6k |