PolyBot

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Traders

0xdc3E831cad

0x5ecde7348ea5100af4360dd7a6e0a3fb1d420787

Realised P&L
$171.8k
Volume
$47.99M
Markets traded
4,588
Open portfolio
$126.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,588
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration66.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6220.835$80.4k+$20.5k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7210.935$9.4k+$2.1k
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No0.8040.936$7.5k+$1.1k
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6000.715$5.9k+$951.80
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.5200.355$2.5k$1.2k
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.6420.455$2.3k$934.97
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.2380.350$2.2k+$714.40
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7300.545$2.2k$740.00
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.3860.280$2.0k$739.98
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? · Yes0.1960.320$1.7k+$674.70
Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026? · No0.2750.325$1.4k+$220.54
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.1650.515$1.0k+$694.42
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.4160.160$948.80$1.5k
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.7700.625$937.50$217.50
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.1960.185$756.08$45.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 02:14Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?SELL0.05$4.00
09-16 02:12Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?SELL0.14$1.68
09-16 02:12Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.807275675$3.2k
09-15 10:18Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2749449816$1.2k
09-15 10:18Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.0774149639$224.36
09-15 10:15Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.9809174194$5.3k
09-15 10:15Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.4797849519$457.59
09-15 02:42Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?BUY0.4352199542$148.40
09-15 02:41Alibaba matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?BUY0.9$392.85
09-15 02:41Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?BUY0.84$336.84
09-15 02:40Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?BUY0.7964076773$310.38
09-15 02:40Meta matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?BUY0.75$90.63
09-15 02:40SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?BUY0.54$105.84
09-13 08:56Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$9.2k
09-13 08:55Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?SELL0.9231034483$1.3k