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Traders

vaxastadnyk

0x03f74c9cafb0f09a3d0c7cd2286778fe0e5ac0cc

Realised P&L
$959.23
Volume
$2.81M
Markets traded
2,413
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,413
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2960.573$582.43+$281.47
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5170.605$117.15+$17.03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1620.074$104.30−$122.70
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3000.295$97.12−$1.65
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.5270.185$83.25−$153.75
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0660.154$77.25+$44.25
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6600.720$69.44+$5.79
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6700.595$60.29−$7.60
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.3500.179$55.13−$52.67
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4700.150$30.00−$64.00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1500.055$22.00−$38.00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0470.041$20.25−$3.25
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026 · Yes0.3800.405$12.17+$0.75
Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0150.004$3.50−$11.50
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0570.035$0.08−$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 16:46Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3$98.76
09-26 20:24North Carolina Central vs. East CarolinaBUY0.984$339.48
09-26 20:23Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.66$205.39
09-26 20:22Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.25$1.30
09-26 14:06Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.68$339.99
09-26 14:02AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 3.5BUY0.112125675$2.28
09-25 23:37Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.67$67.89
09-25 23:14Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?SELL0.6932479369$337.71
09-25 23:14Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?SELL0.52$2.60
09-25 23:13Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$41.32
09-23 15:40Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?BUY0.73$355.61
09-20 15:112026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.61$57.12
09-20 15:09Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.1$58.21
09-19 21:54Southern Utah vs. St. ThomasBUY0.984$24.60
09-18 18:55Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?SELL0.14$42.00
Trader vaxastadnyk · PolyBot Pro