vaxastadnyk
0x03f74c9cafb0f09a3d0c7cd2286778fe0e5ac0cc
- Realised P&L
- $959.23
- Volume
- $2.81M
- Markets traded
- 2,413
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,413
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.210Knicks vs. Celtics
- +$2.0kat 0.062Texas Southern Tigers vs. Alcorn State Braves
- +$1.6kat 0.340Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-10?
- +$1.5kat 0.440Warriors vs. Rockets
- +$1.1kat 0.080Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 16:46 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $98.76 |
| 09-26 20:24 | North Carolina Central vs. East Carolina | BUY | 0.984 | $339.48 |
| 09-26 20:23 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.66 | $205.39 |
| 09-26 20:22 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.30 |
| 09-26 14:06 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.68 | $339.99 |
| 09-26 14:02 | AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.112125675 | $2.28 |
| 09-25 23:37 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $67.89 |
| 09-25 23:14 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.6932479369 | $337.71 |
| 09-25 23:14 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-25 23:13 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $41.32 |
| 09-23 15:40 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $355.61 |
| 09-20 15:11 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.61 | $57.12 |
| 09-20 15:09 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $58.21 |
| 09-19 21:54 | Southern Utah vs. St. Thomas | BUY | 0.984 | $24.60 |
| 09-18 18:55 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $42.00 |