0xb0108cc6231c79b62ea2d5d7ae3af6852118efbd
- Realised P&L
- $398.15
- Volume
- $90.4k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.459 | $407.56 | +$7.56 |
| Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.491 | 0.380 | $285.46 | −$83.45 |
| Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.655 | 0.585 | $115.31 | −$13.78 |
| Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? · Yes | 0.346 | 0.345 | $84.79 | −$0.23 |
| Will Capitão Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election? · Yes | 0.367 | 0.360 | $84.38 | −$1.71 |
| Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · Yes | 0.226 | 0.285 | $82.12 | +$17.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-13.17at 0.313Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-15.25at 0.278Will Capitão Wagner win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?
- +$-15.63at 0.012Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-22.24at 0.470Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-54.06at 0.126Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 09:26 | Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.3450584674 | $15.07 |
| 09-12 09:23 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0069711 | $15.92 |
| 09-09 19:01 | Will Capitão Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election? | BUY | 0.3758210393 | $46.09 |
| 09-09 18:58 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4499999999 | $400.00 |
| 09-09 18:55 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.47 | $470.15 |
| 09-09 01:30 | Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? | BUY | 0.3459311782 | $85.02 |
| 09-09 01:19 | Will Capitão Wagner win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election? | SELL | 0.2320260328 | $65.60 |
| 09-09 01:18 | Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0050755283 | $22.52 |
| 09-08 20:33 | Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.4910916342 | $368.91 |
| 09-08 20:31 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.47 | $391.04 |
| 09-05 02:48 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.6549265878 | $129.09 |
| 09-05 02:39 | Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.207740947 | $30.00 |
| 09-05 02:39 | Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.1998648913 | $20.00 |
| 09-05 02:28 | Will Capitão Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election? | BUY | 0.3579037036 | $40.00 |
| 09-05 01:38 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.5102566708 | $433.90 |