0xBC18F1aa04Aa1fcc2a8decbe6c02bbf4853d139D-1756480013439
0xbc18f1aa04aa1fcc2a8decbe6c02bbf4853d139d
- Realised P&L
- $-101.51
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $3.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.37at 0.160Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$27.55at 0.149Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$22.65at 0.184Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?
- +$13.32at 0.133Will Spain win the World Cup?
- +$13.05at 0.284Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 21:10 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? | BUY | 0.0389999995 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 21:01 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? | BUY | 0.0919015229 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 20:59 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? | BUY | 0.0291276273 | $2.00 |
| 07-22 20:59 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.0296912114 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 22? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 07-20 18:19 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 21? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 18:19 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 21? | BUY | 0.0287128575 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 23:50 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $38.52 |
| 07-19 23:50 | Will Spain win the World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.36 |
| 07-19 21:00 | Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 07-19 20:58 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 20:00 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0299999857 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 19:33 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.032 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 18:52 | Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 13:54 | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |