PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBC18F1aa04Aa1fcc2a8decbe6c02bbf4853d139D-1756480013439

0xbc18f1aa04aa1fcc2a8decbe6c02bbf4853d139d

Realised P&L
$-101.51
Volume
$8.7k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$3.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? · Yes0.0290.022$1.54$0.46
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? · Yes0.0920.062$1.35$0.65
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? · Yes0.0390.005$0.28$1.72
Dani Olmo: 1+ goals · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$2.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$5.00
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5 · Over0.0690.000$0.00$2.00
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? · Yes0.1480.000$0.00$2.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$6.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 22? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$2.00
Spread: United States (-2.5) · United States0.1700.000$0.00$5.00
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$5.00
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$2.00
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 21:10Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?BUY0.0389999995$2.00
09-07 21:01Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?BUY0.0919015229$2.00
09-07 20:59Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?BUY0.0291276273$2.00
07-22 20:59Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 23?BUY0.0296912114$2.00
07-21 21:02Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 22?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
07-20 18:19Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 21?BUY0.1$1.00
07-20 18:19Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 21?BUY0.0287128575$2.00
07-19 23:50Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$38.52
07-19 23:50Will Spain win the World Cup?SELL0.999$15.36
07-19 21:00Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsSELL0.001$0.04
07-19 20:58Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1$2.00
07-19 20:00Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.0299999857$2.00
07-19 19:33Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.032$2.00
07-19 18:52Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsBUY0.1$2.00
07-19 13:54Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsBUY0.089999919$1.00