Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-20
Rewards: 60 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.24. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.21 to 0.29. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.25	452	452
0.26	459	911
0.27	118	1,030
0.28	5	1,035
0.31	110	1,145
0.33	100	1,245
0.43	400	1,645
0.44	30	1,675
0.70	1,383	3,058
0.71	30	3,088
0.78	5	3,093
0.80	650	3,743

Spread0.01Mid0.24

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.24	134	134
0.23	204	338
0.22	421	759
0.21	1,058	1,817
0.20	73	1,890
0.17	18	1,908
0.11	50	1,958
0.10	61	2,019
0.08	40	2,059
0.07	416	2,475
0.06	30	2,505
0.04	10	2,516

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.76	134	134
0.77	204	338
0.78	421	759
0.79	1,058	1,817
0.80	73	1,890
0.83	18	1,908
0.89	50	1,958
0.90	61	2,019
0.92	40	2,059
0.93	416	2,475
0.94	30	2,505
0.96	10	2,516

Spread0.01Mid0.76

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.75	452	452
0.74	459	911
0.73	118	1,030
0.72	5	1,035
0.69	110	1,145
0.67	100	1,245
0.57	400	1,645
0.56	30	1,675
0.30	1,383	3,058
0.29	30	3,088
0.22	5	3,093
0.20	650	3,743

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
lava-lava	Yes	6,431.87
flawfence	Yes	1,584.52
Snoorrason	Yes	330.43
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935	Yes	300
bogdanc1	Yes	144
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	89.3
youtube-trader	Yes	54.21
V4grant	Yes	52.73
a5533	Yes	38.97
0x4629…f3b1	Yes	30
vasiksim	Yes	30
FFFFFFFF9	Yes	30
eratoxtenex	Yes	20
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	20
ASFYQ78	Yes	20
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	10
wert4	Yes	8.79
0xbffe…fe20	Yes	6
tryrktry	Yes	5
monoclith	Yes	3.58

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:40:51	SELL	Yes	0.24	3	$0.71
03:27:27	SELL	No	0.75	5	$3.92
20:53:10	BUY	No	0.76	20	$15.20
07:39:00	BUY	No	0.75	10	$7.50
07:39:00	BUY	No	0.75	21	$15.83
07:39:00	BUY	No	0.75	13	$9.60
06:12:39	BUY	No	0.75	10	$7.50
06:12:39	BUY	No	0.75	10	$7.50
01:53:36	BUY	No	0.76	20	$15.20
17:28:01	BUY	No	0.75	5	$3.80
17:27:40	SELL	No	0.74	210	$155.40
23:29:37	BUY	No	0.7699999992	26	$20.00
22:28:24	BUY	Yes	0.26	152	$39.52
19:11:28	BUY	No	0.77	20	$15.40
19:03:51	BUY	No	0.77	70	$53.90
17:54:36	BUY	No	0.77	40	$30.80
17:40:42	BUY	Yes	0.23	22	$5.17
16:38:24	BUY	No	0.7799999969	45	$34.79
05:35:01	SELL	No	0.77	3	$1.96
04:53:43	BUY	No	0.7810797088	23	$17.60
04:53:43	BUY	No	0.77	20	$15.40
22:44:06	SELL	No	0.7483855468	52	$38.94
12:28:34	BUY	No	0.77	11	$8.47
12:28:33	SELL	Yes	0.24	49	$11.76
12:27:48	BUY	No	0.76	112	$85.12