PolyBot

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Traders

lava-lava

0x629bc4a1e53e1d475beb7ea3d388791e96dd995a

Realised P&L
$1.00M
Volume
$40.60M
Markets traded
1,344
Open portfolio
$249.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,344
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:36Will Linke win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.1467111312$103.71
09-17 20:10Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?BUY0.2361764706$481.80
09-17 18:43Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?BUY0.1464449273$135.46
09-17 16:35Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.76$13.5k
09-17 11:40Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.74$234.65
09-17 11:40Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.74$1.0k
09-17 11:12Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.24$185.02
09-17 11:05Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?BUY0.42$152.29
09-17 11:05Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.08$10.12
09-17 11:05Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.08$26.70
09-17 10:52Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?BUY0.557$92.46
09-17 10:49Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.0655086605$15.05
09-17 10:47Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.2510475727$165.07
09-17 10:43Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1769819997$140.01
09-16 22:50Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.23$176.87