FFFFFFFF9
0xf3338c0f5c52e48fbe883d731226b7820e70ba41
- Realised P&L
- $-53.6k
- Volume
- $2.43M
- Markets traded
- 7,251
- Open portfolio
- $182.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,251
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Puka Nacua have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No | 0.890 | 0.755 | $101.09 | −$18.08 |
| Will Alavés record 50 or more points in the 2026-27 LALIGA season? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.220 | $48.84 | −$59.94 |
| Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes | 0.151 | 0.043 | $19.44 | −$47.91 |
| Will Verónica Díaz Robles win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.565 | $13.56 | −$2.28 |
| Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$103.52 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$118.18 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$133.72at 0.050Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
- +$54.75at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 16?
- +$33.28at 0.480Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 10?
- +$30.16at 0.480Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in August?
- +$27.34at 0.700Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 08:36 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $112.64 |
| 10-12 08:36 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? | SELL | 0.15 | $14.03 |
| 10-12 08:35 | Will Puka Nacua have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.83 | $24.90 |
| 10-12 08:33 | Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | SELL | 0.2 | $29.09 |
| 10-12 08:33 | Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $33.60 |
| 10-12 08:33 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? | SELL | 0.1741176471 | $7.40 |
| 10-12 08:33 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? | SELL | 0.58 | $27.26 |
| 10-12 08:33 | Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $22.78 |
| 10-12 08:33 | Will edgeX reach $1.00 before 2027? | SELL | 0.28 | $5.32 |
| 10-12 08:33 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in October? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 10-12 08:32 | Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.18 |
| 10-12 08:32 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth <10%? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.46 |
| 10-12 08:14 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? | SELL | 0.28 | $4.21 |
| 10-12 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.5219230769 | $13.57 |
| 10-12 06:27 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of October 12 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $142.38 |