PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FFFFFFFF9

0xf3338c0f5c52e48fbe883d731226b7820e70ba41

Realised P&L
$-40.7k
Volume
$2.12M
Markets traded
5,820
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,820
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election? · No0.7700.630$107.10$23.80
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? · No0.4800.459$106.37$4.99
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026? · No0.8000.685$81.52$13.69
Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? · No0.7200.555$75.70$22.51
Will Trump praise Byron Donalds in September? · No0.5200.705$57.81+$15.17
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.5500.355$47.57$26.13
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026? · No0.7300.370$36.63$35.64
Phantasmal Flames Booster Box Price Over/Under $393.19 on September 30? · Over0.8900.460$27.95$26.12
Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election? · No0.5000.420$25.93$4.94
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? · No0.7100.602$25.26$4.56
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? · Yes0.2700.185$25.16$11.56
Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.4800.405$24.00$4.44
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes0.1700.065$23.66$38.22
Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election? · No0.8000.385$23.20$25.00
Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? · No0.4900.150$21.82$49.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:20Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.591$18.91
09-17 23:55Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?SELL0.81$243.00
09-17 22:45Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?SELL0.74$6.04
09-17 20:33Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.82$46.85
09-17 20:32Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.8351585275$202.83
09-17 19:31Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 19?SELL0.38$34.58
09-17 19:21Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?SELL0.1776415584$27.36
09-17 18:11Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18?SELL0.62$38.44
09-17 18:06Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18?SELL0.5322551471$72.39
09-17 17:03Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?SELL0.81$172.57
09-17 17:03Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?SELL0.83$72.17
09-17 16:26Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 19?SELL0.4645015385$60.39
09-17 16:23Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?SELL0.4$19.77
09-17 16:00Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19?SELL0.4612340014$19.10
09-17 16:00Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19?SELL0.5043290043$23.30