D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935
0xd8d5289c35124b5353f5a10a28b8cc29aec38935
- Realised P&L
- $85.3k
- Volume
- $13.84M
- Markets traded
- 3,274
- Open portfolio
- $173.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,274
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.6kat 0.999Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$5.9kat 0.230Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$5.8kat 0.869Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$4.4kat 0.413Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$4.2kat 0.996MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:45 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? | BUY | 0.56 | $560.00 |
| 11-01 20:45 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? | BUY | 0.56 | $560.00 |
| 11-01 20:45 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? | BUY | 0.56 | $112.00 |
| 11-01 20:45 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? | BUY | 0.56 | $336.00 |
| 11-01 13:41 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.81 | $404.65 |
| 11-01 07:04 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $165.00 |
| 10-30 15:54 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.9 | $296.35 |
| 10-30 15:33 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.94 | $100.32 |
| 10-30 15:28 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? | BUY | 0.998 | $998.00 |
| 10-30 15:23 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.85 | $820.00 |
| 10-30 15:05 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | SELL | 0.45 | $129.61 |
| 10-30 15:00 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | BUY | 0.51 | $146.90 |
| 10-30 14:57 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.7671224402 | $159.95 |
| 10-30 14:54 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.74 | $148.00 |
| 10-30 14:52 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.74 | $246.42 |