D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935
0xd8d5289c35124b5353f5a10a28b8cc29aec38935
- Realised P&L
- $67.6k
- Volume
- $9.19M
- Markets traded
- 2,784
- Open portfolio
- $180.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,784
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.413Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$4.2kat 0.996MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$4.0kat 0.700Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?
- +$3.3kat 0.995Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$3.1kat 0.615Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:30 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.94 | $60.16 |
| 09-16 20:30 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.32 | $96.00 |
| 09-16 20:29 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.32 | $96.00 |
| 09-16 20:29 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.32 | $96.00 |
| 09-16 20:21 | US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $273.00 |
| 09-16 20:09 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 09-16 19:49 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.999 | $262.88 |
| 09-16 19:46 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $110.47 |
| 09-16 12:23 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.71 | $21.71 |
| 09-16 12:16 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.007 | $7.00 |
| 09-16 12:16 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.007 | $7.00 |
| 09-16 11:57 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.544 | $303.81 |
| 09-16 10:54 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.26 | $47.25 |
| 09-16 10:51 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $455.00 |
| 09-16 10:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.88 | $25.26 |