PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935

0xd8d5289c35124b5353f5a10a28b8cc29aec38935

Realised P&L
$67.6k
Volume
$9.19M
Markets traded
2,784
Open portfolio
$180.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,784
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6580.695$4.6k+$245.40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8370.835$4.6k$9.54
Yoon out of custody before 2027? · No0.8840.934$3.3k+$177.59
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.8540.975$3.0k+$370.41
Christopher Luxon out by September 30? · No0.9300.976$2.9k+$138.00
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.7400.957$2.9k+$650.80
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.5210.685$2.5k+$597.10
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · No0.6360.820$2.5k+$553.02
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.4950.560$2.2k+$258.76
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9500.957$2.0k+$14.89
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8020.945$2.0k+$302.06
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2910.541$1.9k+$900.11
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.9200.925$1.9k+$10.48
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9600.966$1.9k+$11.31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9300.935$1.9k+$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 22:30Will "Resident Evil" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.94$60.16
09-16 20:30Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.32$96.00
09-16 20:29Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.32$96.00
09-16 20:29Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.32$96.00
09-16 20:21US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?BUY0.91$273.00
09-16 20:09Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.94$94.00
09-16 19:49Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.999$262.88
09-16 19:46Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.85$110.47
09-16 12:23Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.71$21.71
09-16 12:16Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.007$7.00
09-16 12:16Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.007$7.00
09-16 11:57Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.544$303.81
09-16 10:54Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?BUY0.26$47.25
09-16 10:51Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?BUY0.91$455.00
09-16 10:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.88$25.26