PolyBot

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Traders

D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935

0xd8d5289c35124b5353f5a10a28b8cc29aec38935

Realised P&L
$85.3k
Volume
$13.84M
Markets traded
3,274
Open portfolio
$173.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,274
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.817$40.9k+$15.8k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6510.705$10.8k+$828.43
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.183$9.2k−$15.8k
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7060.715$4.1k+$48.51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8080.825$3.3k+$67.67
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.5740.695$2.8k+$485.18
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? · No0.7030.830$2.7k+$413.62
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6160.895$2.7k+$835.61
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? · No0.8500.875$2.4k+$69.57
Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027? · No0.9200.981$2.4k+$147.72
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? · Yes0.3490.550$2.3k+$831.00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.7390.735$2.2k−$12.30
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6220.720$2.2k+$293.51
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? · No0.9260.963$2.0k+$75.65
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9490.968$1.9k+$38.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:45Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?BUY0.56$560.00
11-01 20:45Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?BUY0.56$560.00
11-01 20:45Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?BUY0.56$112.00
11-01 20:45Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?BUY0.56$336.00
11-01 13:41Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.81$404.65
11-01 07:04Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.33$165.00
10-30 15:54Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.9$296.35
10-30 15:33Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.94$100.32
10-30 15:28Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?BUY0.998$998.00
10-30 15:23Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.85$820.00
10-30 15:05Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?SELL0.45$129.61
10-30 15:00Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.51$146.90
10-30 14:57Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.7671224402$159.95
10-30 14:54Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.74$148.00
10-30 14:52Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.74$246.42