V4grant
0xf5bbbfd5df4bae871da64022cf8bfc43f145bdb8
- Realised P&L
- $549.76
- Volume
- $321.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,732
- Open portfolio
- $6.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,732
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$409.12at 0.059Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$407.68at 0.376Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
- +$348.29at 0.300Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
- +$285.96at 0.422Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
- +$250.19at 0.441Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:16 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 06:15 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? | BUY | 0.4819999992 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 06:14 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 06:13 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 19:34 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.8536247478 | $63.47 |
| 09-16 19:32 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15? | BUY | 0.0470588235 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:25 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.5691609294 | $92.59 |
| 09-16 11:30 | Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0539999986 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:29 | Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:29 | Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0579999977 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:29 | Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1238095097 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:29 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1579999981 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:29 | Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0539749326 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:29 | Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0567164177 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:29 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |