PolyBot

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Traders

V4grant

0xf5bbbfd5df4bae871da64022cf8bfc43f145bdb8

Realised P&L
$-518.40
Volume
$401.1k
Markets traded
2,219
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,219
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.825$491.08−$8.93
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by November 30, 2026? · No0.8930.910$305.76+$5.76
Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31? · No0.9170.915$299.35−$0.65
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.890$222.50+$22.50
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? · No0.8640.875$202.60+$2.60
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? · No0.4280.775$181.45+$81.19
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? · Yes0.4450.320$134.88−$52.62
Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by December 31, 2026? · No0.7890.845$107.05+$7.05
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.5620.845$75.15+$25.15
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5330.705$66.15+$16.15
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by December 31? · No0.7200.830$57.64+$7.64
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 28? · No0.6650.670$50.39+$0.39
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · No0.6190.610$49.28−$0.72
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? · Yes0.3280.610$46.53+$21.53
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 20? · No0.8680.805$46.38−$3.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 10:09U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?BUY0.9099999991$50.00
10-31 10:09Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?BUY0.097783572$10.00
10-31 10:07Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?SELL0.88$66.66
10-31 10:05U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?BUY0.9079942406$200.00
10-31 10:05Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?SELL0.5937133309$47.97
10-31 10:01Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?SELL0.2330635632$32.74
10-31 10:00Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?SELL0.9798671062$28.24
10-31 10:00Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?SELL0.981$71.48
10-31 09:59U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?BUY0.8845796566$250.00
10-31 09:56Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?SELL0.05$0.96
10-31 09:55Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999981$10.00
10-31 09:52Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$3.33
10-31 09:50Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?SELL0.046$1.72
10-31 09:49Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0241882998$1.06
10-31 09:49Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$1.07