V4grant
0xf5bbbfd5df4bae871da64022cf8bfc43f145bdb8
- Realised P&L
- $-518.40
- Volume
- $401.1k
- Markets traded
- 2,219
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,219
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$409.12at 0.059Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$407.68at 0.376Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
- +$348.29at 0.300Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
- +$285.96at 0.422Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
- +$250.19at 0.441Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 10:09 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 10:09 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.097783572 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 10:07 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $66.66 |
| 10-31 10:05 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.9079942406 | $200.00 |
| 10-31 10:05 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | SELL | 0.5937133309 | $47.97 |
| 10-31 10:01 | Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.2330635632 | $32.74 |
| 10-31 10:00 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.9798671062 | $28.24 |
| 10-31 10:00 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | SELL | 0.981 | $71.48 |
| 10-31 09:59 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.8845796566 | $250.00 |
| 10-31 09:56 | Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.96 |
| 10-31 09:55 | Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 09:52 | Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.33 |
| 10-31 09:50 | Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.046 | $1.72 |
| 10-31 09:49 | Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0241882998 | $1.06 |
| 10-31 09:49 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.07 |