PolyBot

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Traders

V4grant

0xf5bbbfd5df4bae871da64022cf8bfc43f145bdb8

Realised P&L
$549.76
Volume
$321.9k
Markets traded
1,732
Open portfolio
$6.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,732
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration70.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? · No0.8120.925$341.83+$41.83
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.8250.975$295.37+$45.37
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? · No0.7650.975$254.81+$54.82
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? · No0.7930.935$235.70+$35.70
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · No0.7810.885$226.69+$26.69
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026? · No0.8340.935$224.34+$24.34
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? · No0.7170.985$205.89+$55.89
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8150.755$185.36$14.64
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? · Yes0.4450.280$157.36$92.64
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6400.855$133.59+$33.59
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? · No0.6840.894$130.76+$30.76
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? · No0.7700.959$124.55+$24.55
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? · No0.8000.952$118.94+$18.94
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.8000.935$116.88+$16.88
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? · No0.8000.935$116.81+$16.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:16Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?BUY0.001$3.00
09-17 06:15Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?BUY0.4819999992$5.00
09-17 06:14Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.08$2.00
09-17 06:13Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
09-16 19:34Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?SELL0.8536247478$63.47
09-16 19:32NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?BUY0.0470588235$1.00
09-16 19:25Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?SELL0.5691609294$92.59
09-16 11:30Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?BUY0.0539999986$1.00
09-16 11:29Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
09-16 11:29Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0579999977$1.00
09-16 11:29Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?BUY0.1238095097$1.00
09-16 11:29Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.1579999981$1.00
09-16 11:29Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?BUY0.0539749326$1.00
09-16 11:29Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?BUY0.0567164177$1.00
09-16 11:29Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?BUY0.0699999965$1.00