Snoorrason
0x805a922574d7d6b158b7bbb49a6fa8925eb60635
- Realised P&L
- $175.6k
- Volume
- $13.86M
- Markets traded
- 4,823
- Open portfolio
- $98.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded4,823
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.19Mat 0.474Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$77.7kat 0.028Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
- +$27.4kat 0.542Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on May 17?
- +$23.0kat 0.245Will Patriotic Union win the most seats in the next Liechtenstein parliamentary election?
- +$19.9kat 0.059Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 21:41 | Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31? | BUY | 0.59 | $176.15 |
| 10-10 21:40 | Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election? | BUY | 0.48 | $130.13 |
| 10-09 20:10 | Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9? | SELL | 0.898 | $17.96 |
| 10-09 19:54 | Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 9? | BUY | 0.069 | $1.38 |
| 10-09 17:34 | Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9? | SELL | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-09 00:40 | Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31? | BUY | 0.45 | $111.39 |
| 10-09 00:40 | Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31? | BUY | 0.1840262373 | $254.18 |
| 10-08 20:55 | Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.3874607095 | $160.00 |
| 10-08 13:28 | Will Diana Javorčíková win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election? | BUY | 0.41 | $14.35 |
| 10-08 12:44 | Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.36 | $18.44 |
| 10-07 21:50 | Democratic Senate odds <58% on October 9? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.70 |
| 10-07 21:50 | Democratic Senate odds 58-60% on October 9? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.53 |
| 10-07 21:50 | Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.64 |
| 10-07 21:50 | Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 9? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.69 |
| 10-07 20:52 | Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5738461538 | $74.60 |