PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

monoclith

0x24e8b15bb3e4328cf67b7037b1e71b36a4244546

Realised P&L
$-39.6k
Volume
$1.73M
Markets traded
24,386
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded24,386
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration75.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 17? · No0.7000.635$83.82$8.58
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? · Yes0.6600.525$78.22$20.11
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 17? · No0.7100.675$74.92$3.88
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 17? · No0.6200.490$73.01$19.37
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 18? · No0.5600.440$65.56$17.88
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 17? · No0.5400.495$59.73$5.43
Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings · No0.4000.400$59.60+$0.00
Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.5500.545$58.86$0.54
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 17? · Yes0.5500.395$58.85$23.09
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 17? · No0.6400.555$54.62$8.36
Will FNATIC Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? · Yes0.3500.478$47.80+$12.80
Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 20% to 39.99%? · Yes0.4600.300$44.70$23.84
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4700.290$43.36$26.91
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? · No0.5400.445$40.94$8.74
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-10 House election by 60%-65%? · Yes0.4600.275$37.40$25.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:16Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?SELL0.37$6.29
09-17 06:16Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.54$22.14
09-17 06:09Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?SELL0.23$3.91
09-17 06:06Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?SELL0.36$3.60
09-17 06:04Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?SELL0.25$25.00
09-17 06:04Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?SELL0.36$12.24
09-17 05:55Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?SELL0.32$32.00
09-17 05:47Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 18?SELL0.51$5.10
09-17 05:43Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?SELL0.45$22.50
09-17 05:41Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?SELL0.601$3.61
09-17 05:39Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 18?SELL0.52$2.60
09-17 05:14Will Caio Borralho fight Gregory Rodrigues next?SELL0.394$5.12
09-17 05:14Will Caio Borralho fight Gregory Rodrigues next?SELL0.394$7.88
09-17 05:05Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?SELL0.68$23.80
09-17 05:01Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 18?SELL0.48$4.32