eratoxtenex
0x0b651d994b2e8c7f3f84442b759941a830e0013e
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $604.9k
- Markets traded
- 876
- Open portfolio
- $8.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded876
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$529.02at 0.365 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
- +$476.86at 0.432Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?
- +$376.00at 0.892MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$320.99at 0.251Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
- +$317.82at 0.787Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 22:42 | Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.992945463 | $150.02 |
| 10-28 22:41 | Will Podemos win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.989 | $89.90 |
| 10-28 22:37 | Will PP win the most seats in Cádiz in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.7153846154 | $93.00 |
| 10-28 21:44 | Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.9497692308 | $49.39 |
| 10-26 18:56 | Will Vox win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.87 | $329.09 |
| 10-24 19:55 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.929 | $185.80 |
| 10-24 19:25 | Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.685 | $109.60 |
| 10-07 21:01 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? | BUY | 0.982221431 | $144.83 |
| 10-02 16:29 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SELL | 0.044 | $1.34 |
| 09-30 17:52 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $28.02 |
| 09-21 15:46 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | BUY | 0.955 | $135.26 |
| 09-20 18:31 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.93 | $279.00 |
| 09-10 08:38 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $39.00 |
| 09-07 11:17 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | SELL | 0.43 | $162.54 |
| 09-06 20:06 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne? | SELL | 0.1501 | $15.01 |