eratoxtenex
0x0b651d994b2e8c7f3f84442b759941a830e0013e
- Realised P&L
- $5.4k
- Volume
- $437.9k
- Markets traded
- 606
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded606
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$529.02at 0.365 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
- +$476.86at 0.432Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?
- +$376.00at 0.893MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$320.99at 0.251Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
- +$317.92at 0.787Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:20 | Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.94 | $76.43 |
| 07-31 17:32 | Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.936 | $93.60 |
| 07-30 23:40 | Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $236.57 |
| 07-29 08:44 | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.94 | $240.25 |
| 07-28 16:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.183 | $36.60 |
| 07-28 16:18 | Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.94 | $91.30 |
| 07-22 21:37 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $29.60 |
| 07-22 21:19 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $7.79 |
| 07-22 15:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.783 | $313.20 |
| 07-21 23:19 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.705 | $141.00 |
| 07-20 07:34 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | SELL | 0.7 | $9.10 |
| 07-19 15:30 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.961 | $384.40 |
| 07-18 20:11 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.301 | $21.13 |
| 07-18 11:18 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m? | BUY | 0.999 | $399.60 |
| 07-17 22:46 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m? | BUY | 0.999 | $214.34 |