ASFYQ78
0xeaa9c399e286809191456044e979802a14ce1737
- Realised P&L
- $-26.2k
- Volume
- $1.10M
- Markets traded
- 5,019
- Open portfolio
- $611.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,019
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.41at 0.710Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?
- +$21.36at 0.370Will Lyntris' market cap be less than $2B at market close on IPO day?
- +$17.87at 0.530Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 5?
- +$16.25at 0.390Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
- +$15.96at 0.240Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 23:48 | Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung? | SELL | 0.72 | $17.28 |
| 09-08 23:47 | Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | SELL | 0.163 | $8.15 |
| 09-08 23:46 | Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.6036302927 | $21.24 |
| 09-08 23:46 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.66 | $24.75 |
| 09-08 23:46 | Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | SELL | 0.615 | $25.97 |
| 09-08 23:45 | Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | SELL | 0.5133333333 | $15.40 |
| 08-29 00:59 | Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | SELL | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 08-28 03:28 | Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | SELL | 0.34 | $27.14 |
| 08-28 03:28 | Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.623101719 | $43.86 |
| 08-28 03:27 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.73 | $54.75 |
| 08-28 03:27 | Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | SELL | 0.64 | $24.96 |
| 08-28 03:27 | Will Warsh say "Prediction" or "Predictive" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | SELL | 0.71 | $63.90 |
| 08-28 03:27 | Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | SELL | 0.55 | $82.50 |
| 08-28 03:26 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.695 | $13.90 |
| 08-28 03:26 | Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.8671428571 | $24.28 |