PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ASFYQ78

0xeaa9c399e286809191456044e979802a14ce1737

Realised P&L
$-26.2k
Volume
$1.10M
Markets traded
5,019
Open portfolio
$611.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,019
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? · No0.5100.685$54.69+$13.97
Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? · No0.7600.735$51.45$1.75
Will Babalwa Lobishe be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay? · Yes0.2400.155$46.50$25.50
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · No0.5800.284$42.67$44.33
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · No0.7300.635$32.66$4.89
Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3600.305$30.50$5.50
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? · No0.5500.355$25.91$14.23
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? · No0.7200.984$25.58+$6.86
Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? · No0.4000.370$23.71$1.89
Will Carol de Toni win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? · No0.7100.645$19.35$1.95
Will Jayden Reed have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.8400.640$19.20$6.00
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%? · No0.8100.704$18.29$2.77
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31? · Yes0.4800.527$16.88+$1.52
Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? · Yes0.5500.365$13.87$7.03
Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6700.545$13.63$3.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 23:48Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?SELL0.72$17.28
09-08 23:47Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?SELL0.163$8.15
09-08 23:46Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?SELL0.6036302927$21.24
09-08 23:46No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?SELL0.66$24.75
09-08 23:46Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?SELL0.615$25.97
09-08 23:45Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?SELL0.5133333333$15.40
08-29 00:59Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?SELL0.55$27.50
08-28 03:28Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?SELL0.34$27.14
08-28 03:28Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?SELL0.623101719$43.86
08-28 03:27No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?SELL0.73$54.75
08-28 03:27Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?SELL0.64$24.96
08-28 03:27Will Warsh say "Prediction" or "Predictive" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?SELL0.71$63.90
08-28 03:27Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?SELL0.55$82.50
08-28 03:26Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?SELL0.695$13.90
08-28 03:26Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?SELL0.8671428571$24.28