PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

bogdanc1

0xfde6d3106320cf7d22fa64822fdec909fa3f7ed6

Realised P&L
$-52.7k
Volume
$8.24M
Markets traded
1,048
Open portfolio
$7.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,048
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.3600.365$5.4k+$74.26
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2620.267$1.0k+$18.83
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1250.110$533.38$71.50
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.1440.145$324.31+$1.19
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0030.004$39.86+$0.98
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.2030.290$27.96+$8.42
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0060.023$11.50+$8.50
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0350.041$9.56+$1.40
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 6 - 1 Liverpool FC? · No0.9900.850$8.49$1.41
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · No0.7300.870$7.25+$1.17
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0030.004$4.02+$1.34
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? · Yes0.0050.004$4.00$1.00
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0160.021$3.04+$0.72
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0040.004$2.25+$0.25
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0700.288$1.70+$1.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 18:27Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.13$1.51
07-19 18:49Spread: Spain (-3.5)BUY0.019$6.36
07-15 18:22Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.015$8.29
07-14 18:11Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?BUY0.031$8.83
07-10 19:53Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?BUY0.16$19.84
07-09 19:06Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?SELL0.047$94.00
07-09 09:51Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.001$50.00
07-09 08:30Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.37$63.48
07-08 10:35Argentina vs. Switzerland: Neither team to score first?BUY0.89$283.33
07-08 10:24Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.001$30.00
07-07 20:57Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.998$5.5k
07-07 19:54Spread: Colombia (-3.5)BUY0.014$0.16
07-07 08:57Will Rodina win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.99$10.14
07-06 21:46Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.15$2.92
07-06 21:40Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.2$40.00