bogdanc1
0xfde6d3106320cf7d22fa64822fdec909fa3f7ed6
- Realised P&L
- $18.6k
- Volume
- $11.08M
- Markets traded
- 1,106
- Open portfolio
- $92.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,106
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.9kat 0.135Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
- +$29.2kat 0.270Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?
- +$28.4kat 0.052Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?
- +$21.6kat 0.280Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
- +$13.4kat 0.049Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:27 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.29 |
| 09-17 20:26 | Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $19.56 |
| 09-17 18:37 | Will Yabloko finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? | BUY | 0.97 | $27.16 |
| 09-17 18:35 | Will Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 09-17 18:35 | Will Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 09-17 18:33 | Will Rodina finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 09-17 18:33 | Will Civic Platform (GP) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 09-17 18:33 | Will Yabloko finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? | BUY | 0.96 | $24.00 |
| 09-17 18:32 | Will Yabloko finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? | BUY | 0.96 | $25.92 |
| 09-17 18:25 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.013 | $305.23 |
| 09-17 18:25 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.025 | $89.82 |
| 09-17 18:24 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.205 | $924.17 |
| 09-17 13:28 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.005 | $5.44 |
| 09-17 13:22 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.021 | $2.73 |
| 09-17 13:15 | Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0756510311 | $78.58 |