bogdanc1
0xfde6d3106320cf7d22fa64822fdec909fa3f7ed6
- Realised P&L
- $-52.7k
- Volume
- $8.24M
- Markets traded
- 1,048
- Open portfolio
- $7.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,048
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.9kat 0.135Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
- +$29.2kat 0.270Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?
- +$28.4kat 0.052Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?
- +$21.6kat 0.280Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
- +$13.4kat 0.049Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:27 | Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.51 |
| 07-19 18:49 | Spread: Spain (-3.5) | BUY | 0.019 | $6.36 |
| 07-15 18:22 | Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.015 | $8.29 |
| 07-14 18:11 | Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain? | BUY | 0.031 | $8.83 |
| 07-10 19:53 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium? | BUY | 0.16 | $19.84 |
| 07-09 19:06 | Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco? | SELL | 0.047 | $94.00 |
| 07-09 09:51 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |
| 07-09 08:30 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.37 | $63.48 |
| 07-08 10:35 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.89 | $283.33 |
| 07-08 10:24 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $30.00 |
| 07-07 20:57 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.5k |
| 07-07 19:54 | Spread: Colombia (-3.5) | BUY | 0.014 | $0.16 |
| 07-07 08:57 | Will Rodina win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.99 | $10.14 |
| 07-06 21:46 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.92 |
| 07-06 21:40 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.2 | $40.00 |