PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

vasiksim

0x55916ddf9fd3718b414634c26368be3c8a12ebe0

Realised P&L
$-164.02
Volume
$17.1k
Markets traded
323
Open portfolio
$285.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded323
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.2300.989$59.31+$45.51
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16? · Yes0.3300.460$32.20+$9.10
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? · Yes0.3980.330$23.22−$4.78
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026? · Yes0.2100.555$22.20+$13.80
Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30? · Yes0.3600.910$18.20+$11.00
Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.245$17.15+$0.35
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1700.320$16.00+$7.50
Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in September 2026? · Yes0.1080.399$15.94+$11.62
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2700.303$15.15+$1.65
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0900.235$11.75+$7.25
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? · Yes0.2200.425$8.50+$4.10
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? · Yes0.4760.388$7.75−$1.77
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? · Yes0.3400.335$6.70−$0.10
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? · Yes0.2700.270$5.40+$0.00
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2500.100$5.00−$7.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 11:51Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?BUY0.1$2.00
09-25 11:51Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?BUY0.17$3.40
09-25 11:51Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?BUY0.27$5.40
09-25 11:51Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?BUY0.12$2.40
09-25 11:51Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?BUY0.34$6.80
09-19 15:17Will Everton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?BUY0.1882352941$16.00
09-19 15:17Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.8$64.00
09-19 15:17Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.029$2.32
09-19 11:52Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-09-19?SELL0.002893655$0.10
09-19 11:52Will FC Anyang vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?SELL0.1$3.00
09-19 11:42Will FC Anyang vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?BUY0.25$7.50
09-19 11:42Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.1340425515$4.50
09-19 11:42Will FC Anyang win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.53$15.90
09-17 22:23CD Real Tomayapo vs. CD Oriente Petrolero: Draw at halftime?SELL0.53$15.90
09-17 22:22CD Real Tomayapo vs. CD Oriente Petrolero: Draw at halftime?BUY0.5$15.00