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Traders

wert4

0x46f7d34068d8663dbde7e6ed6f3d57d46a78ded2

Realised P&L
$665.56
Volume
$303.9k
Markets traded
7,171
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,171
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? · Yes0.2200.900$404.28+$305.45
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? · Yes0.2130.865$130.94+$98.70
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.5970.525$82.24−$11.33
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3270.105$32.44−$68.63
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No0.3900.415$21.17+$1.29
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.9980.980$20.77−$0.38
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.8270.853$20.49+$0.61
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.8240.823$19.84−$0.04
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · No0.9940.990$18.71−$0.09
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3950.135$17.71−$34.14
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3490.400$16.89+$2.13
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1350.154$16.59+$2.09
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.6480.805$15.66+$3.06
Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2500.395$15.63+$5.74
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? · No0.2800.425$14.97+$5.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 00:43Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.21$17.11
10-04 09:00Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.795$10.39
10-02 07:07Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?SELL0.42$5.21
10-02 04:11Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?SELL0.27$5.31
10-01 20:13Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?SELL0.25$1.30
10-01 17:42Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?SELL0.72$9.67
09-30 20:09Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?SELL0.68$4.96
09-30 19:50Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $48 in September?SELL0.991019305$5.13
09-30 19:47Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in September?SELL0.99$17.22
09-30 18:23Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in September?SELL0.9901848429$26.78
09-30 17:50Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $224 in September?SELL0.9915093387$19.64
09-30 17:04Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 in September?SELL0.98$19.60
09-30 16:55Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in September?SELL0.989$9.59
09-30 05:13Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 96.00 in September?SELL0.991$5.17
09-30 05:00Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 97.00 in September?SELL0.9803533569$33.29
Trader wert4 · PolyBot Pro