wert4
0x46f7d34068d8663dbde7e6ed6f3d57d46a78ded2
- Realised P&L
- $665.56
- Volume
- $303.9k
- Markets traded
- 7,171
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,171
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$328.38at 0.018Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 26?
- +$223.10at 0.274Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on September 2?
- +$158.87at 0.401Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?
- +$139.35at 0.158Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$112.26at 0.957Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 00:43 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.21 | $17.11 |
| 10-04 09:00 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.795 | $10.39 |
| 10-02 07:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | SELL | 0.42 | $5.21 |
| 10-02 04:11 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.31 |
| 10-01 20:13 | Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.30 |
| 10-01 17:42 | Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | SELL | 0.72 | $9.67 |
| 09-30 20:09 | Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $4.96 |
| 09-30 19:50 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $48 in September? | SELL | 0.991019305 | $5.13 |
| 09-30 19:47 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in September? | SELL | 0.99 | $17.22 |
| 09-30 18:23 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in September? | SELL | 0.9901848429 | $26.78 |
| 09-30 17:50 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $224 in September? | SELL | 0.9915093387 | $19.64 |
| 09-30 17:04 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 in September? | SELL | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 09-30 16:55 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in September? | SELL | 0.989 | $9.59 |
| 09-30 05:13 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 96.00 in September? | SELL | 0.991 | $5.17 |
| 09-30 05:00 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 97.00 in September? | SELL | 0.9803533569 | $33.29 |