PolyBot

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Traders

a5533

0x758dac51ba3cc9a246a79787da9df11c5f425d9e

Realised P&L
$-6.0k
Volume
$20.70M
Markets traded
75,004
Open portfolio
$28.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded75,004
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.845$4.5k−$26.66
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9200.925$2.8k+$14.93
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9760.976$2.0k−$1.03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3700.365$1.2k−$17.32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.2600.165$1.1k−$634.39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2400.165$426.62−$193.92
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.215$378.35−$8.80
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.9270.921$129.28−$0.85
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9960.996$111.85+$0.04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.0960.115$109.80+$18.43
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes0.6360.520$101.36−$22.71
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on October 5? · No0.9920.994$100.79+$0.15
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9951.000$100.01+$0.46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 5? · Yes0.9940.996$99.66+$0.16
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on October 5? · No0.9930.997$99.65+$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 16:17Will Daniel Negreanu be 1st on the 2026 Money List at the end of the year?SELL0.002$0.01
09-18 16:17Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31?SELL0.001$0.01
09-18 16:17Will Patrik Antonius be 1st on the 2026 Money List at the end of the year?SELL0.002$0.01
09-18 16:16Will Montevideo City Torque be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?SELL0.0019090909$0.04
09-18 16:16Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 14 2026?SELL0.001$0.05
09-18 16:16Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 14 2026?SELL0.01$0.06
09-18 16:16Exact Score: Nueva Chicago 3 - 3 CA Patronato Parana?SELL0.001$0.01
09-18 16:16Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 12?SELL0.002$0.02
09-18 16:16Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 14 2026?SELL0.01$0.20
09-18 16:16Will Roma keep the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Serie A?SELL0.001$0.04
09-18 16:16KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Doosan BearsSELL0.001$0.01
09-18 16:16Will Montevideo City Torque be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?SELL0.01$0.08
09-18 16:16Will Roma keep the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Serie A?SELL0.01$0.05
09-18 16:15Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $610 Week of September 14 2026?SELL0.001$0.05
09-18 16:15Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $5.50 end of September?SELL0.001$0.01