tryrktry
0x99f7df5c91f048d291c3759cd086ce670196f5ae
- Realised P&L
- $-265.76
- Volume
- $35.9k
- Markets traded
- 743
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded743
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.55at 0.287Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?
- +$60.38at 0.245Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?
- +$21.95at 0.780Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?
- +$15.56at 0.378Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?
- +$14.48at 0.276Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 13:14 | Will SPD win 34 or more seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 09-12 13:14 | Will SPD win fewer than 18 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.04 |
| 09-12 13:14 | Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 09-12 13:14 | Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-12 13:14 | Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.135 | $0.68 |
| 09-12 13:14 | Will SPD win 18-21 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.058 | $0.29 |
| 09-12 13:14 | Will SPD win fewer than 18 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.04 |
| 09-12 13:14 | Will SPD win 34 or more seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 09-12 13:14 | Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 09-12 13:14 | Will SPD win 18-21 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.057 | $0.29 |
| 09-12 13:14 | Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-12 13:14 | Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.135 | $0.68 |
| 09-12 13:14 | Will SPD win fewer than 18 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.04 |
| 09-12 13:14 | Will SPD win 18-21 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.057 | $0.29 |
| 09-12 13:14 | Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.135 | $0.68 |