PolyBot

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Traders

tryrktry

0x99f7df5c91f048d291c3759cd086ce670196f5ae

Realised P&L
$-265.76
Volume
$35.9k
Markets traded
743
Open portfolio
$6.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded743
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.3350.780$222.30+$126.91
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.2411.000$220.00+$166.85
Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.5051.000$200.00+$99.05
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · Yes0.4260.977$190.51+$107.47
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? · Yes0.2871.000$185.00+$131.85
Will the PCQ win 17 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? · Yes0.0831.000$180.00+$165.08
Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30? · Yes0.5111.000$160.00+$78.30
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.5060.810$153.90+$57.65
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? · Yes0.1150.711$138.55+$116.19
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7900.972$116.64+$21.84
Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.2201.000$115.00+$89.75
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? · Yes0.2161.000$115.00+$90.15
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1710.720$93.60+$71.41
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2801.000$90.00+$64.80
Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.3881.000$90.00+$55.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 13:14Will SPD win 34 or more seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.01$0.05
09-12 13:14Will SPD win fewer than 18 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.009$0.04
09-12 13:14Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.33$1.65
09-12 13:14Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.43$2.15
09-12 13:14Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.135$0.68
09-12 13:14Will SPD win 18-21 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.058$0.29
09-12 13:14Will SPD win fewer than 18 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.008$0.04
09-12 13:14Will SPD win 34 or more seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.01$0.05
09-12 13:14Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.33$1.65
09-12 13:14Will SPD win 18-21 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.057$0.29
09-12 13:14Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.43$2.15
09-12 13:14Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.135$0.68
09-12 13:14Will SPD win fewer than 18 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.008$0.04
09-12 13:14Will SPD win 18-21 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.057$0.29
09-12 13:14Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.135$0.68