PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x46299616ff1eb6544ca3ba653d431a20f207f3b1

Realised P&L
$-6.2k
Volume
$240.6k
Markets traded
3,720
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,720
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration2.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August? · No0.6811.000$30.00+$9.57
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-01 House election by 40%-45%? · No0.8420.762$25.44$2.66
Will Anthony Gordon (Barcelona) record the most assists in the 2026-27 La Liga season? · No0.8600.844$25.32$0.48
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.7900.765$25.30$0.83
Will the cure (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · No0.8590.840$25.20$0.57
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in September? · No0.8800.830$24.90$1.50
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026? · Yes0.8400.815$24.46$0.75
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.8500.805$24.15$1.35
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 20%-25%? · No0.8600.805$24.15$1.65
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September? · No0.6770.690$24.05+$0.46
Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.7880.797$23.93+$0.28
Will 'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana win the Ongo Niua 17 by-election? · No0.5500.785$23.55+$7.05
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · No0.7800.780$23.40+$0.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? · Yes0.8200.775$23.25$1.35
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? · No0.8700.755$22.65$3.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 08:11Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 14 2026?SELL0.28$3.92
09-17 07:17S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 17?SELL0.78$21.38
09-17 02:30Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?SELL0.42$2.98
09-16 15:48Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 14 2026?SELL0.49$9.80
09-15 15:36Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 14 2026?SELL0.37$2.85
09-15 14:52Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?SELL0.62$6.20
09-15 14:22S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 15?SELL0.16$3.20
09-15 10:56Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of September 14 2026?SELL0.58$11.34
09-15 01:00Will Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?SELL0.85$7.63
09-15 00:41Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 15?SELL0.43$12.90
09-14 17:17Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?SELL0.26$4.56
09-14 15:01Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 14 2026?SELL0.87$7.05
09-14 10:14Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 14?SELL0.27$8.10
09-14 07:54Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?SELL0.7$13.71
09-14 07:54Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?SELL0.72$0.30