0x46299616ff1eb6544ca3ba653d431a20f207f3b1
0x46299616ff1eb6544ca3ba653d431a20f207f3b1
- Realised P&L
- $-6.8k
- Volume
- $429.4k
- Markets traded
- 6,588
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,588
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.68at 0.334Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$27.90at 0.070Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between October 1 and October 10, 2026?
- +$27.60at 0.448Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$23.70at 0.210Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$23.56at 0.481Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:22 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election by 25%-30%? | SELL | 0.86 | $23.38 |
| 10-31 13:58 | Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 10-31 13:00 | Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 10-31 11:55 | Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.69 | $7.46 |
| 10-31 08:11 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.47 | $9.26 |
| 10-31 03:50 | Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 10-31 03:50 | Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 10-30 20:46 | Alix Earle and Lando Norris confirm relationship in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.20 |
| 10-30 15:53 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.66 |
| 10-30 15:23 | Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.08 |
| 10-30 14:07 | Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 10:27 | Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027? | SELL | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 10-30 09:50 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000? | SELL | 0.81 | $24.30 |
| 10-30 06:18 | Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 10-30 01:41 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.64 | $4.30 |