0x46299616ff1eb6544ca3ba653d431a20f207f3b1
- Realised P&L
- $-6.2k
- Volume
- $240.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,720
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,720
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.59at 0.310Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$17.10at 0.360Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" this week?
- +$15.59at 0.350Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$15.51at 0.320Will the 1996 McLaren F1 GTR sell for at least $35m at auction?
- +$14.40at 0.520Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on August 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:11 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $3.92 |
| 09-17 07:17 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 17? | SELL | 0.78 | $21.38 |
| 09-17 02:30 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.98 |
| 09-16 15:48 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 09-15 15:36 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $2.85 |
| 09-15 14:52 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 09-15 14:22 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 15? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 09-15 10:56 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $11.34 |
| 09-15 01:00 | Will Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? | SELL | 0.85 | $7.63 |
| 09-15 00:41 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 15? | SELL | 0.43 | $12.90 |
| 09-14 17:17 | Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $4.56 |
| 09-14 15:01 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $7.05 |
| 09-14 10:14 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.27 | $8.10 |
| 09-14 07:54 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.7 | $13.71 |
| 09-14 07:54 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.30 |