PolyBot

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Traders

flawfence

0x23d81ba9371e576015c1e562db09c689f56b0288

Realised P&L
$1.05M
Volume
$31.03M
Markets traded
709
Open portfolio
$782.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded709
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:31Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.3186412722$2.2k
10-31 20:02Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?SELL0.13$22.8k
10-30 22:17Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.0899950525$36.4k
10-28 01:41Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.928$25.8k
10-28 00:53Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.898$157.15
10-28 00:35Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.55$5.1k
10-27 20:05Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.2600103965$18.5k
10-27 19:21Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.73$240.56
10-27 04:04Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.9083428571$317.92
10-26 22:55Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?BUY0.8286920615$825.82
10-26 20:20Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.76$74.6k
10-26 19:05Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.7398828352$75.3k
10-26 18:59Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.734$3.3k
10-26 18:58Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.73$705.72
10-25 22:31Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.2409933025$2.3k