Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.031. down 0.024 over the period, from 0.055. Range 0.029 to 0.055. 159 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.049	30	30
0.050	100	130
0.060	300	430
0.070	100	530
0.076	117	647
0.080	500	1,147
0.090	20	1,167
0.100	20	1,187
0.291	10	1,197
0.292	11	1,208
0.293	15	1,224
0.420	20	1,244

Spread0.036Mid0.031

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.013	5	5
0.011	55	60
0.010	500	560
0.008	18	577
0.007	501	1,078
0.006	210	1,288
0.005	23	1,310
0.004	260	1,571
0.003	635	2,206
0.002	852	3,058
0.001	5,459	8,517

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.987	5	5
0.989	55	60
0.990	500	560
0.992	18	577
0.993	501	1,078
0.994	210	1,288
0.995	23	1,310
0.996	260	1,571
0.997	635	2,206
0.998	852	3,058
0.999	5,459	8,517

Spread0.036Mid0.969

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.951	30	30
0.950	100	130
0.940	300	430
0.930	100	530
0.924	117	647
0.920	500	1,147
0.910	20	1,167
0.900	20	1,187
0.709	10	1,197
0.708	11	1,208
0.707	15	1,224
0.580	20	1,244

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Ersicolus	Yes	188.62
MahdiGhavi	Yes	178.88
GuyFromTinder	Yes	120.38
Numitus1994	Yes	117.4
42424242	Yes	111.11
thecaricature	Yes	60
AJSV	Yes	22.19
0x30bBD7246D7bEa798574E96F9504905f617f291C-1769078391825	Yes	20
ghorrock	Yes	20
scale2	Yes	20
lplplplplplp	Yes	15.42
Zawadpaw	Yes	12.5
Haradwaith	Yes	1
KiernanMeister	No	351
TronOG	No	188.11
q82850325	No	112.36
thoodr	No	100
0x8b54…167f	No	55
Tenk1994	No	40
FishermansFiend	No	19.56

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:22:15	SELL	Yes	0.05	66	$3.30
13:24:10	SELL	Yes	0.05	5	$0.27
12:15:27	BUY	No	0.95	11	$10.00
17:53:56	SELL	Yes	0.05	52	$2.59
02:19:00	SELL	Yes	0.06	21	$1.26
02:18:44	BUY	No	0.93	100	$93.00
17:32:57	BUY	No	0.92	1	$1.00
10:03:42	SELL	No	0.9	1	$0.98
08:30:41	BUY	No	0.91	1	$1.00
15:56:36	BUY	No	0.91	5	$5.00
22:32:33	SELL	No	0.91	25	$22.75
22:32:21	SELL	No	0.92	45	$41.40
20:03:12	SELL	No	0.91	60	$54.60
09:14:16	SELL	Yes	0.06	15	$0.90
12:00:52	BUY	Yes	0.0899999993	111	$10.00
21:26:01	SELL	Yes	0.08	5	$0.40
18:32:58	SELL	Yes	0.08	20	$1.60
18:32:55	BUY	No	0.91	62	$56.42
09:11:00	BUY	No	0.91	55	$50.05
23:24:00	BUY	No	0.9	20	$17.60
07:46:01	SELL	No	0.9	40	$36.00
11:25:57	BUY	No	0.92	40	$36.80
05:23:12	SELL	Yes	0.08	20	$1.60
05:23:10	SELL	Yes	0.09	20	$1.80
05:23:00	SELL	Yes	0.09	20	$1.80