PolyBot

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Traders

thoodr

0x3eae57986be5e0ca435102ffe1f14206ffa2e2ed

Realised P&L
$100.3k
Volume
$11.05M
Markets traded
994
Open portfolio
$1.35M

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded994
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9420.955$95.5k+$1.3k
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9790.986$65.4k+$495.09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.9290.955$64.8k+$1.7k
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8170.875$64.4k+$4.2k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8180.825$64.3k+$522.99
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.9420.955$58.4k+$765.84
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9080.940$55.8k+$1.9k
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.8610.964$54.7k+$5.9k
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9280.945$53.0k+$945.41
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9600.986$50.4k+$1.3k
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.9220.855$43.7k−$3.4k
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9750.952$42.7k−$1.1k
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8820.865$37.0k−$749.70
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.9320.955$34.9k+$850.07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.9390.997$29.5k+$1.7k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 16:27Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.96$4.8k
11-01 16:24Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.95$950.00
11-01 16:23Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.85$1.0k
11-01 16:18US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?BUY0.965$14.47
11-01 16:17Will Melania Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$419.81
11-01 16:16Iran nuclear test before 2027?BUY0.958$23.95
11-01 16:16Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$142.50
11-01 16:15Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9465661558$872.72
11-01 16:15Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.945$15.3k
11-01 16:13Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.9888909677$7.4k
11-01 16:12Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.989$15.4k
11-01 16:12Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.9868288517$19.7k
11-01 16:10Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.9590805307$528.42
11-01 16:09Iran leadership change by November 30?BUY0.93$930.00
11-01 16:09Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.947$1.5k