PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

thoodr

0x3eae57986be5e0ca435102ffe1f14206ffa2e2ed

Realised P&L
$58.5k
Volume
$4.80M
Markets traded
266
Open portfolio
$822.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded266
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8790.915$237.9k+$9.3k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.9841.000$74.6k+$1.2k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9520.979$74.2k+$2.0k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8180.795$62.0k$1.8k
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8210.745$51.7k$5.3k
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes0.9090.935$49.7k+$1.4k
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.915$34.9k+$1.3k
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8950.935$26.5k+$1.1k
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · No0.9700.979$24.3k+$200.13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9600.981$19.1k+$416.93
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · No0.9590.939$18.2k$405.61
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.8570.925$16.9k+$1.2k
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.8210.895$14.2k+$1.2k
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · No0.7980.810$12.7k+$182.03
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · No0.9340.975$11.1k+$464.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 13:050 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?BUY0.93$929.99
08-02 13:03Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.97$419.36
08-02 12:58Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026?BUY0.992$2.1k
08-02 12:54Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.9739223657$1.3k
08-02 12:54Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.9927422102$1.5k
08-02 12:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.9898665727$3.2k
08-01 13:59US strike on Mexico by December 31?BUY0.89$712.00
08-01 13:58Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?BUY0.974$38.96
08-01 13:57Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9$54.00
08-01 13:55Yoon out of custody before 2027?BUY0.898$433.20
08-01 13:54Israeli forces enter Beirut by August 31?BUY0.97$61.60
08-01 13:51Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?BUY0.975$3.1k
08-01 13:50Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.96$480.00
08-01 13:46Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?BUY0.9728926768$1.5k
08-01 13:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.9116514886$260.28