thoodr
0x3eae57986be5e0ca435102ffe1f14206ffa2e2ed
- Realised P&L
- $100.3k
- Volume
- $11.05M
- Markets traded
- 994
- Open portfolio
- $1.35M
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded994
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.4kat 0.881Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
- +$5.3kat 0.922Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
- +$4.7kat 0.939Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$4.7kat 0.939Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
- +$4.6kat 0.975Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:27 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.8k |
| 11-01 16:24 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.95 | $950.00 |
| 11-01 16:23 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 16:18 | US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $14.47 |
| 11-01 16:17 | Will Melania Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $419.81 |
| 11-01 16:16 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | BUY | 0.958 | $23.95 |
| 11-01 16:16 | Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $142.50 |
| 11-01 16:15 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9465661558 | $872.72 |
| 11-01 16:15 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.945 | $15.3k |
| 11-01 16:13 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9888909677 | $7.4k |
| 11-01 16:12 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $15.4k |
| 11-01 16:12 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9868288517 | $19.7k |
| 11-01 16:10 | Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.9590805307 | $528.42 |
| 11-01 16:09 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $930.00 |
| 11-01 16:09 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.947 | $1.5k |