thoodr
0x3eae57986be5e0ca435102ffe1f14206ffa2e2ed
- Realised P&L
- $77.0k
- Volume
- $8.20M
- Markets traded
- 613
- Open portfolio
- $1.43M
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded613
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.7kat 0.939Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
- +$4.6kat 0.975Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
- +$4.6kat 0.922President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
- +$4.5kat 0.952NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
- +$4.1kat 0.880Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:08 | Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $910.00 |
| 09-17 03:07 | Will the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.9k |
| 09-17 02:49 | Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.8948767636 | $492.18 |
| 09-17 02:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $1.9k |
| 09-17 02:33 | Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $900.00 |
| 09-17 02:33 | Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $930.00 |
| 09-17 02:32 | Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $644.00 |
| 09-17 02:31 | Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings | BUY | 0.6 | $120.00 |
| 09-17 02:29 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $246.00 |
| 09-17 02:28 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9949190254 | $249.91 |
| 09-17 02:25 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.915 | $91.50 |
| 09-17 02:25 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $282.00 |
| 09-17 02:23 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.95 | $2.4k |
| 09-17 02:22 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.9218276048 | $1.9k |
| 09-17 02:21 | Yoon out of custody before 2027? | BUY | 0.932795688 | $1.2k |