PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lplplplplplp

0xdf8db703b139af09397cf6900075e15226353a6c

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$169.1k
Markets traded
1,028
Open portfolio
$867.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,028
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting? · No0.7000.585$35.10−$6.90
Will the Seattle Seahawks win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? · O 10.50.6200.535$32.10−$5.10
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? · No0.4300.315$31.50−$11.50
Will Brett Whiteley win the next Latrobe mayoral election? · No0.5600.415$30.73−$10.74
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? · No0.6600.475$28.50−$11.10
Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? · Yes0.4540.351$27.33−$8.02
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.6700.395$25.28−$17.60
Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? · Yes0.3900.280$23.57−$9.26
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft? · No0.4400.225$22.50−$21.50
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30? · Yes0.5400.245$21.80−$26.25
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? · Yes0.4000.270$21.60−$10.40
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? · Yes0.7000.535$21.40−$6.60
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 in October? · Yes0.6410.510$21.34−$5.51
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? · No0.6690.528$21.14−$5.62
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · No0.3140.200$19.95−$11.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 10:13Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?SELL0.7265217391$66.84
10-03 07:08Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?SELL0.402$16.08
10-03 06:33Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?SELL0.63$25.20
10-03 06:09Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?SELL0.56$19.14
10-03 04:42Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?SELL0.24$24.00
10-03 04:09Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?SELL0.49$49.00
10-03 03:59Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?SELL0.23$5.75
10-03 03:19Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?SELL0.5$44.50
10-03 01:20Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.6$60.00
10-03 01:09Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?SELL0.78$78.00
10-03 00:55Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?SELL0.14$1.63
10-03 00:05Will Breece Hall finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?SELL0.06$1.53
10-03 00:02Will Bodø/Glimt be relegated from the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?SELL0.002$0.04
10-03 00:02Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?SELL0.55$36.21
10-03 00:02Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?SELL0.76$76.00