lplplplplplp
0xdf8db703b139af09397cf6900075e15226353a6c
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $169.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,028
- Open portfolio
- $867.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,028
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.50at 0.360Will Moonshot be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?
- +$14.58at 0.460Stripe vs Databricks - greater valuation growth September 2026
- +$11.49at 0.270Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
- +$9.67at 0.220Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
- +$8.60at 0.540Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 10:13 | Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7265217391 | $66.84 |
| 10-03 07:08 | Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies? | SELL | 0.402 | $16.08 |
| 10-03 06:33 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | SELL | 0.63 | $25.20 |
| 10-03 06:09 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? | SELL | 0.56 | $19.14 |
| 10-03 04:42 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027? | SELL | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 10-03 04:09 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 10-03 03:59 | Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $5.75 |
| 10-03 03:19 | Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $44.50 |
| 10-03 01:20 | Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 10-03 01:09 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? | SELL | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 10-03 00:55 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.63 |
| 10-03 00:05 | Will Breece Hall finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.53 |
| 10-03 00:02 | Will Bodø/Glimt be relegated from the 2026 Norway Eliteserien? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 10-03 00:02 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? | SELL | 0.55 | $36.21 |
| 10-03 00:02 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | SELL | 0.76 | $76.00 |