Numitus1994
0xa815f590e64fa64d417df72c581a32f5ff449cbe
- Realised P&L
- $-18.7k
- Volume
- $7.01M
- Markets traded
- 10,232
- Open portfolio
- $6.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,232
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$508.09at 0.984US military action against Iran before July?
- +$188.12at 0.050Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$185.00at 0.085Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?
- +$175.58at 0.100Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
- +$167.19at 0.150Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:12 | Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.444 | $9.32 |
| 08-02 23:12 | Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | SELL | 0.029 | $4.74 |
| 08-02 23:11 | Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.64 |
| 08-02 23:11 | Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.029 | $5.80 |
| 08-02 23:05 | Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.04 |
| 08-02 23:04 | Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.82 |
| 08-02 23:02 | Will DeepSeek be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.26 |
| 08-02 23:02 | Will Baidu be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.68 |
| 08-02 22:43 | Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 08-02 20:55 | Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in August? | BUY | 0.047 | $1.15 |
| 08-02 17:29 | Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | BUY | 0.1194117647 | $6.09 |
| 08-02 12:34 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.10 |
| 08-02 11:23 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.59 |
| 08-02 08:05 | Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig? | BUY | 0.1169402935 | $3.51 |
| 08-02 07:17 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 in August? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.47 |