Numitus1994
0xa815f590e64fa64d417df72c581a32f5ff449cbe
- Realised P&L
- $-28.0k
- Volume
- $10.80M
- Markets traded
- 31,776
- Open portfolio
- $28.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded31,776
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$508.09at 0.984US military action against Iran before July?
- +$188.12at 0.050Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$185.00at 0.085Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?
- +$177.18at 0.100Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
- +$175.59at 0.100Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:17 | Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.66 |
| 11-01 21:16 | Will Dune: Part Three be delayed? | BUY | 0.055 | $1.06 |
| 11-01 21:11 | Will Jake Moody finish as a top-12 K in the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.052 | $1.09 |
| 11-01 21:10 | Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.61 |
| 11-01 20:31 | France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.89 |
| 11-01 20:27 | Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.08 |
| 11-01 20:27 | Will PP win the most seats in Palencia in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.06 |
| 11-01 20:18 | Will Dune: Part Three be delayed? | BUY | 0.053 | $1.64 |
| 11-01 19:56 | Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.68 |
| 11-01 19:51 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1076687562 | $21.64 |
| 11-01 19:46 | Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.12 |
| 11-01 19:44 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.045 | $1.10 |
| 11-01 19:41 | Will Werder Bremen be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.52 |
| 11-01 19:40 | Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0834117647 | $4.25 |
| 11-01 19:40 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.10 |