Numitus1994
0xa815f590e64fa64d417df72c581a32f5ff449cbe
- Realised P&L
- $-25.5k
- Volume
- $8.18M
- Markets traded
- 19,512
- Open portfolio
- $12.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19,512
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$508.09at 0.984US military action against Iran before July?
- +$220.15at 0.041Will Johanito Wamytan be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?
- +$203.29at 0.036Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$188.12at 0.050Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$185.00at 0.085Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:34 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-01 House election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.52 |
| 09-17 01:14 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.26 |
| 09-17 00:35 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-07 House election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.31 |
| 09-17 00:17 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.54 |
| 09-16 23:04 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.10 |
| 09-16 23:00 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.31 |
| 09-16 22:55 | Will Atlanta Falcons advance to the NFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.26 |
| 09-16 22:31 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 45%-50%? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.52 |
| 09-16 21:56 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.52 |
| 09-16 21:39 | StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.12 |
| 09-16 21:29 | Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.072 | $1.41 |
| 09-16 20:46 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 30%-35%? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.52 |
| 09-16 20:15 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be 250,000 or more? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.89 |
| 09-16 20:10 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.0675020792 | $6.82 |
| 09-16 19:55 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.60 |