PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ghorrock

0xd9fe6f0f41ca99fefa93c55d8890000e5a84db0d

Realised P&L
$876.54
Volume
$3.75M
Markets traded
15,866
Open portfolio
$87.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15,866
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9010.884$1.3k$25.22
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9170.774$1.1k$201.63
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9810.989$1.1k+$8.27
Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9760.998$997.11+$21.83
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.7080.458$978.84$535.63
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9910.999$937.36+$7.13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No0.9840.991$919.25+$5.87
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · No0.9890.997$725.73+$5.49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.9910.993$719.22+$0.90
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.9130.935$662.82+$15.39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.9580.990$640.36+$20.38
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in October 2026? · No0.9890.973$631.96$10.60
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026? · No0.9981.000$582.58+$0.95
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · No0.8190.865$574.42+$30.72
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9970.999$566.55+$1.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 14:26Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.997$1.4k
09-15 16:58Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.9710024286$3.6k
09-08 20:34Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.998$1.8k
08-31 15:17Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?SELL0.998$291.08
08-31 15:16Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.995$269.20
08-31 15:03Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.995$390.63
08-31 15:02Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.995$462.17
08-31 14:57Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.965$510.17
08-27 18:32Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.996$222.42
08-27 18:31Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.988$283.87
08-27 18:29Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.996$332.38
08-27 18:28Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.982$363.36
08-27 18:25Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?SELL0.998$360.28
08-27 16:05Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.995$169.25
08-27 16:03Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.9510104085$507.10