Tenk1994
0x71751e45a2bcab921419777ac0a2070641ebae4e
- Realised P&L
- $4.1k
- Volume
- $169.3k
- Markets traded
- 539
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded539
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.3kat 0.475England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$2.0kat 0.909Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
- +$1.1kat 0.632LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
- +$466.57at 0.496Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$424.64at 0.575Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 11:25 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $36.80 |
| 09-10 11:25 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.966 | $28.98 |
| 09-10 11:23 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 09-10 11:21 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5925 | $11.85 |
| 09-10 11:21 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 09-10 11:20 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 09-10 11:18 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 09-10 11:17 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 09-10 11:16 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $36.80 |
| 09-10 11:14 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 09-10 11:11 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $38.50 |
| 09-07 22:55 | Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $296.66 |
| 09-07 22:54 | Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? | BUY | 0.92 | $39.99 |
| 09-02 23:18 | LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 09-02 23:18 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.26 | $26.00 |