PolyBot

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Traders

Tenk1994

0x71751e45a2bcab921419777ac0a2070641ebae4e

Realised P&L
$4.1k
Volume
$169.3k
Markets traded
539
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded539
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.8110.860$1.4k+$78.00
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? · No0.9100.984$320.78+$24.12
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · No0.7730.935$308.55+$53.35
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.9000.925$185.00+$5.00
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.195$136.50+$31.50
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.125$87.50$10.50
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.8500.815$81.50$3.50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2730.546$54.65+$27.35
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? · No0.9180.935$49.49+$0.89
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9400.945$47.25+$0.25
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.945$47.25+$0.25
Will US annex any territory in 2026? · No0.9660.942$47.08$1.22
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8900.870$43.50$1.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.7700.815$40.75+$2.25
Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 15, 2026? · No0.5860.970$38.78+$15.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 11:25Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?BUY0.92$36.80
09-10 11:25Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?BUY0.966$28.98
09-10 11:23US strike on Mexico by December 31?BUY0.91$91.00
09-10 11:21Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 15, 2026?BUY0.5925$11.85
09-10 11:21Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 15, 2026?BUY0.58$11.60
09-10 11:20Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.85$85.00
09-10 11:18China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.94$47.00
09-10 11:17Trump meets with Putin by December 31?BUY0.36$7.20
09-10 11:16Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.92$36.80
09-10 11:14Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.89$44.50
09-10 11:11Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.77$38.50
09-07 22:55Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?BUY0.91$296.66
09-07 22:54Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?BUY0.92$39.99
09-02 23:18LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsBUY0.58$11.60
09-02 23:18LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsBUY0.26$26.00