PolyBot

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Traders

TronOG

0x77c344e1715c35d1424881c14e5a9f6911dd00c8

Realised P&L
$59.7k
Volume
$3.19M
Markets traded
482
Open portfolio
$145.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded482
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9320.964$27.7k+$915.67
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8780.966$23.8k+$2.1k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.9910.993$18.9k+$30.00
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? · Yes0.9300.963$12.7k+$429.61
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.9090.960$11.0k+$579.13
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? · No0.8660.895$7.9k+$258.29
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8790.815$4.6k−$364.59
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7440.715$4.6k−$185.21
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.8040.800$4.0k−$19.97
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.965$3.3k+$185.85
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.9460.956$2.9k+$29.87
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.8150.875$2.9k+$195.96
Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.9420.971$2.7k+$81.25
Iran invades Kuwait by December 31? · No0.9100.918$2.5k+$22.72
Will Elon Musk attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.9860.956$2.0k−$63.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:26Will there be no Hormuz agreement?BUY0.9615315615$28.94
11-01 14:37US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.993$934.01
10-31 21:48Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.965$1.2k
10-31 21:38US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.98997543$805.84
10-31 21:38US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.9899860481$2.8k
10-31 20:25US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.9885859388$4.3k
10-31 20:17US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.986$493.25
10-31 20:16Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.965$4.8k
10-31 20:07US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?SELL0.985$49.25
10-31 20:06Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.12$36.00
10-30 00:38US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.95$351.21
10-29 19:00Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.85$85.00
10-28 19:09Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?SELL0.99$96.69
10-28 19:04Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?BUY0.4299999983$42.00
10-28 19:02Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?SELL0.43$60.65