TronOG
0x77c344e1715c35d1424881c14e5a9f6911dd00c8
- Realised P&L
- $59.7k
- Volume
- $3.19M
- Markets traded
- 482
- Open portfolio
- $145.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded482
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.4kat 0.959Netanyahu out by March 31?
- +$3.9kat 0.918Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
- +$3.9kat 0.900Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
- +$3.0kat 0.973US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.6kat 0.161Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:26 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.9615315615 | $28.94 |
| 11-01 14:37 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.993 | $934.01 |
| 10-31 21:48 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.965 | $1.2k |
| 10-31 21:38 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.98997543 | $805.84 |
| 10-31 21:38 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.9899860481 | $2.8k |
| 10-31 20:25 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.9885859388 | $4.3k |
| 10-31 20:17 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.986 | $493.25 |
| 10-31 20:16 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.965 | $4.8k |
| 10-31 20:07 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | SELL | 0.985 | $49.25 |
| 10-31 20:06 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.12 | $36.00 |
| 10-30 00:38 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.95 | $351.21 |
| 10-29 19:00 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 10-28 19:09 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28? | SELL | 0.99 | $96.69 |
| 10-28 19:04 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28? | BUY | 0.4299999983 | $42.00 |
| 10-28 19:02 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28? | SELL | 0.43 | $60.65 |