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Traders

Zawadpaw

0xcdf000b37557329efcda1d05e4d58e3e135c6b55

Realised P&L
$87.33
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$85.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration90.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.0760.055$13.07−$4.93
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · Yes0.5671.000$12.34+$5.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · Yes0.2921.000$10.28+$7.28
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No0.3401.000$5.88+$3.88
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1320.115$5.24−$0.76
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No0.6601.000$4.55+$1.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · Yes0.6701.000$4.48+$1.48
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1700.185$4.35+$0.35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? · Yes0.7271.000$4.13+$1.13
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1240.085$2.73−$1.27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2700.145$2.69−$2.31
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0460.037$2.46−$0.54
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.036$1.82−$1.18
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.6101.000$1.64+$0.64
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · No0.6200.935$1.51+$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 03:50Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.08$2.00
10-15 03:48Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.0389999995$2.00
10-15 03:48US imports Russian diesel by October 31?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
10-14 16:51Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1699999983$2.00
10-14 16:51Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.0699999998$6.00
10-13 11:58Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1699999983$2.00
10-13 11:57Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
09-20 16:26US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.25$1.00
09-20 16:26US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.16$1.00
09-20 16:26US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?BUY0.0269999993$1.00
09-17 11:42Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.0579999977$1.00
09-17 11:40Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.109999989$1.00
09-17 11:39Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.1399999963$3.00
09-17 11:39Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.3399999966$2.00
09-17 11:39Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.659999934$3.00
Trader Zawadpaw · PolyBot Pro