0x30bBD7246D7bEa798574E96F9504905f617f291C-1769078391825
0x06dad3666d60ba4101736d8a92dd04d213bcaf33
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $126.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,105
- Open portfolio
- $370.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,105
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$249.76at 0.297Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 9?
- +$219.19at 0.147Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?
- +$207.99at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 2?
- +$188.04at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 2?
- +$179.99at 0.172Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.49 | $1.71 |
| 09-17 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.67 |
| 09-16 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 09-15 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.42 |
| 09-14 16:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 16:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 09-13 19:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.12 |
| 09-13 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 13? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-13 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 13? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 09-12 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 09-12 03:02 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.06 |
| 09-12 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.51 |
| 09-11 15:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-09 18:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.53 |
| 09-09 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.02 |