PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

42424242

0xc65a6513fe24213f5ceff073ff49b34f6150a0cb

Realised P&L
$-49.82
Volume
$15.0k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$99.62

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1800.145$51.26$12.37
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0310.029$31.76$3.24
Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31? · Yes0.0900.075$8.33$1.67
Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31? · Yes0.0450.037$8.27$1.73
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? · No0.1290.000$0.00$16.33
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$5.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$3.96
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$8.70
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$10.00
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$2.00
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 12:00Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?BUY0.0899999993$10.00
09-16 12:00Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?BUY0.0447541653$10.00
09-16 11:59Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.17$20.03
09-16 11:54Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.18$84.85
09-16 11:53Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.031408004$35.00
02-28 19:18Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?BUY0.1879998875$1.33
02-28 18:42Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
02-28 17:51Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?BUY0.12299998$5.00
02-28 17:51Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?SELL0.875$5.02
02-28 17:50Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?BUY0.870999997$5.00
02-28 17:47Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.014$5.00
02-28 17:44Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?BUY0.1009999829$5.00
02-02 19:48US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?BUY0.0129999937$2.00
01-30 16:16Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?BUY0.004$1.96
01-30 01:51Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?BUY0.006$5.00