scale2
0xe0cdbf844b13eac5f34f810011f9f964d6cad931
- Realised P&L
- $-4.7k
- Volume
- $159.3k
- Markets traded
- 3,356
- Open portfolio
- $31.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,356
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.00at 0.300Will Trump say "Disability" during his rally with Darline Graham?
- +$30.00at 0.400XRP Up or Down - August 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$26.92at 0.460Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?
- +$26.00at 0.480Will Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$25.00at 0.500Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 19:39 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.190855 | $3.82 |
| 08-31 19:25 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 31 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $6.88 |
| 08-31 19:00 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 Week of August 31 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 08-31 18:59 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of August 31 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $9.18 |
| 08-31 18:57 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $175 Week of August 31 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 08-31 18:57 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 31 2026? | SELL | 0.7076923077 | $9.20 |
| 08-31 18:48 | Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ? | SELL | 0.708 | $2.90 |
| 08-31 18:45 | Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 08-31 18:44 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of August 31 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $0.72 |
| 08-31 18:39 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of August 31 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 08-31 18:18 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $175 Week of August 31 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $1.48 |
| 08-31 18:18 | Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $2.39 |
| 08-31 18:17 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $502.50 Week of August 31 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 08-31 18:17 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $590 Week of August 31 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 08-31 18:16 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 Week of August 31 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $11.00 |