FishermansFiend
0x3a591e337729dd9f891f6d94ba77d01c3a626c6f
- Realised P&L
- $7.1k
- Volume
- $222.1k
- Markets traded
- 228
- Open portfolio
- $19.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded228
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.681 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$1.3kat 0.811US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$1.0kat 0.489US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$1.0kat 0.469Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$557.42at 0.321US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 18:36 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.9183946303 | $2.2k |
| 09-13 18:35 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9095100895 | $2.2k |
| 09-13 18:35 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9333014822 | $718.23 |
| 09-13 18:35 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $440.07 |
| 09-13 18:34 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? | SELL | 0.9183052538 | $278.09 |
| 09-13 18:32 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.9199999985 | $498.66 |
| 09-13 18:31 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.9221401345 | $500.31 |
| 09-12 23:24 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $17.60 |
| 09-12 23:23 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.869999999 | $17.66 |
| 09-12 23:23 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8479999992 | $17.66 |
| 09-12 23:23 | Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.9099999722 | $17.66 |
| 09-12 23:23 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999663 | $17.66 |
| 09-12 23:23 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.9099999722 | $17.66 |
| 09-12 23:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299999663 | $17.66 |
| 09-12 23:23 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.879999992 | $17.66 |